WE HAD ANOTHER WINNING NIGHT LAST NIGHT, AS WE CASHED IN ON THE AZ DIAMONDBACKS AND THE OVER, TO MAKE OUR BREAK-EVEN DAY (DAMN PHILLIES!) ANOTHER PROFIT-MAKING NIGHT OVERALL!!
HERE WAS THE EMAIL SENT TO MEMBERS FOR YESTERDAY'S GAMES - SO YOU CAN SEE FOR YOURSELF THE WAY WE ROLL AROUND HERE!
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WEDNESDAY'S MEMBERS-ONLY EMAIL!!
Alright, so another WINNING night last night as we went 3-1 and improved our MLB POSTSEASON record to 12-4 so far!! And with all these games having such low odds, it has been a nice PROFITABLE run as well!
Unfortunately, as soon as we saw the Tigers lineup we had a feeling we were in trouble. Although we will never understand how you don't put your best lineup out there, when you have a chance to close out a playoff series against the Yankees at home, but for the some reason the Tigers couldn't go 3 straight days apparently. Yuck!
Ah well, let's keep it going today!
TODAY'S PLAYS --
OVER 9 MIL BREWERS @ AZ DIAMONDBACKS (-110) --
It appears we are going to be against the grain on this play today as from what I have seen it appears the "sharps" are picking the under in this one. I say not so fast. The Dbacks exploded for 8 R's yesterday, with 5 of them coming in the 5th, 4 on Goldschmidt's grand slam, while holding the Brewers to 1 R behind a strong postseason debut from Collmenter. For the Brewers, Wolf comes into the game sporting career dominance over the Diamondbacks, especially in AZ. Over 9 career GS at Chase Field, Wolf is currently 7-2 with a 3.43 ERA and had won his L7 starts there before the 2011 season. However, in 2011, the Diamondbacks owned Wolf and he struggled to a 0-2 record with a 6.08 ERA in 2 outings against them. To be fair, he did pitch much better against them in Arizona, although he was still tagged for the loss, allowing 2 ER in 7.1 IP against them in a loss in August. The Dbacks have hit Wolf well this year too, with the starting combo of Bloomquist, Montero, Roberts, Parra, Upton and Young a combined 14-for-34 against him with 3 HR's and 8 RBI's. In their careers that same combo is 29-for-87 against him with 5 HR's and 11 RBI's. Surprisingly, Wolf has only pitched in the Postseason one other season (2009) and was largely ineffective in his 2 starts as he was 0-0 with a 5.00 ERA, after allowing 5 ER, 10 H and 7 BB in only 9 IP. We fully expect him to struggle again today and give up a few runs to this never-say-die Diamondbacks lineup. On the other side of the hill, Saunders too has had his struggles on the 2011 season as a whole and has in the past in his career in the playoffs as well. However, Saunders did fare well against the Brewers in his only start against them this season, but he walked away with no decision after allowing 2 ER and 5 H in 7 IP in the Dbacks 5-2 loss at home in July. In 2010, he was bombed by the Brewers in his only start against them (also at home) as he allowed 6 ER and 2 HR in 5 2/3 IP in a 12-2 loss. Saunders has actually done a pretty good job keeping the big Brewers hitters contained as in their careers against him the tandem of Weeks, Hart, McGehee, Morgan, Braun and Fielder are a combined 7-for-32 with 3 HR's and 6 RBI's (2 HR and 5 RBI from Braun; 1 HR and 1 RBI from McGehee). And Saunders has struggled greatly in his 2 previous times playing in the Postseason, although both of those seasons were spent with the Angels. In his postseason career, Saunders is a lackluster 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in 3 total GS. He has a massive 1.87 WHIP over those 3 starts and in 15 IP has allowed 18 H and 9 ER to go with 10 free passes. This game seems to scream the over here. I don't know why the public is going against it here. Perhaps we will find out after the game, but I say when all the evidence points to one side, go with that side. Roll with the OVER 9 in this game and watch the runs pile up.........
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (+105) --
Much along the same lines as the OVER play above, the pitching match-up and momentum seem to favor the Diamondbacks in this one. Although it is hard to imagine that Saunders is the favorite in any pitching match-up and does make us pause. But Kirk Gibson is the master motivator and had the Dbacks fired up and ready to play in Game 3. With their backs against the wall and the potential for their final game at home in front of the fans, the Dbacks should have enough fire in the tank to force this one back to Milwaukee. I say roll with the AZ DIAMONDBACKS to win the game tonight........
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (-120) -- AND PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES 1ST 5 INNINGS (-120) --
The Phillies have a chance to do something that those Tigers could not do last night - close out the series tonight against the Cardinals. They may face somewhat of a daunting challenge here in St. Louis and facing Jackson, but the home team is 1-2 so far in this series with the Phillies getting the only W. The Cardinals did win 6 out of 9 against the Phillies in the regular season and are 9-4 in their L13 regular season match-ups, they are probably coming into this game again severely shorthanded by the loss of Holliday and his bat from the lineup. That one-sided regular season record hasn't fazed the Phils obviously so far as they have jumped out to a 2-1 series lead, with the only loss coming from a late-inning blown lead of 4 R's - so what I'm saying is, even when the Cardinals beat them in Game 2, they still were down and out of it for most of the game. Oswalt takes the the mound tonight looking to extend his perfect career record in the postseason and has always been a stud who shines brightest when the biggest lights are on him. He comes into this start with a perfect 5-0 career postseason record, with a very respectable 3.25 ERA in those 10 career postseason GS. Oswalt last squared off against the Cardinals in the postseason in 2005 and lead the Houston Astros in the series-winning victory, leading to their one and only World Series appearance in the history of their franchise. In his career, Oswalt has faced the Cardinals three times in the postseason, going 2-0 with a 3.15 ERA. He defeated the Cardinals on September 17, throwing 7 scoreless innings in a 9-2 win. That outing was the beginning of a season-ending stretch in which he finished strong down the stretch, going 2-0 with a 2.61 ERA over his L3 GS. Pujols has hit Oswalt well though, batting .316 with 7 HR in 95 career AB'S against him, and is currently 7-for-13 to start off this series. Theriot is equally hot, going 6-for-9 in the series, and is also 10-for-32 in his career against Oswalt. The Cardinals counter with mid-season acquisition Jackson, who has pitched well since coming over in the trade. Over 12 starts in a Cardinals uniform, Jackson went 5-2 with a fairly decent 3.62 ERA. He faced the Phillies back in late July and was hit hard, allowing 5 R's in 5 IP, and ultimately tagged for the 7-1 loss. Surprisingly, Jackson has never started in the postseason before, but he does actually have 1 appearance against the Phillies in the postseason (which came back in 2008 while with Tampa Bay), when he allowed 1 R 2 H and 1 BB in 2 innings of relief in Game 4 of the World Series. I say roll with the PHILLIES to WIN the game and the series today........
There you have it!! That is our action for WEDNESDAY!! We are going to make it yet ANOTHER WINNING DAY in the MLB POSTSEASON!!
Best of luck to all today!! Let's get that money!!
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