HERE WE GO AGAIN!!
ANOTHER SUPER SATURDAY of NCAA FB action and yet another chance for PORT PORT SPORTS to give back to our most loyal followers!!
We are going to make this a MONSTER SATURDAY of NCAA FB action and we are going to let you CASH IN WITH US today, as we are giving out a FREEBIE WINNER OR TWO (or perhaps maybe even more) throughout the day, as we are going to prove to you once again just how serious we are when we talk about destroying your bookie!! This is how we do around here at PORT PORT SPORTS!!
For starters, this first FREEBIE PLAY sees the Underdog road team, whom we are going against mind you, holding a pathetic 0-10 ATS record in the L2 decades when playing in this same situation!! They are 0-8 ATS since 2000 in that same situation, with all 8 losses coming by well more than today's suggested spread.....
The second FREEBIE PLAY actually has us backing a road team here as they have been just too damn solid on the road in the last 2 seasons and have shown that same strength so far this season, with all 3 of their road games being decided by a total of 6 combined points......
Looks like 2 easy FREEBIE CASHERS to me. And the best part of it all for our MEMBERS, these aren't even in our TOP 3 PLAYS on the day overall!! We still have 3 PLAYS on the board that are labeled at a higher strength, if you can believe that!!
WEBSITE FREEBIE PLAYS -- (YTD: 156-132 / +35.80 UNITS)
ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS (-6.5)
Only fitting that we should follow that write-up with this pick as everything just seems like all systems go for this ASU team that will be ready to steam-roll after picking up a "moral" victory by holding Oregon scoreless in the second half of their 43-21 loss last Thursday night. They also happened to outscore the Ducks 14-0 in that half, although that probably isn't saying much as they played mostly back-ups, 3rd and even 4th stringers in mop-up duty for that one. UCLA is coming in off their bye week for this one, but that hasn't been a good thing for them in recent seasons, not too mention, they didn't look all that great heading into the bye week this season. They have had 3 bye weeks in the L2 seasons, and have come out and posted a dismal 0-3 ML and ATS record in their 3 follow-up games, having been outscored by a combined tally of 132-32 by the likes of Arizona, Washington and Oregon in those 3 games. Even if you take out the 60-13 Oregon beat-down, it is still a combined beating of 72-19 against Arizona and Washington. Like today's game, all 3 of those were on the road, but unlike today's games, each of those 3 games were actually played on a Thursday night following a bye week. Going even further, they are 0-5 ML and ATS in their L5 road games immediately off a bye and 0-6 ML and ATS in the L6 off a bye since the 2008-09 season. That includes a 34-9 whooping at the hands of ASU on the road as well in that span. In fact, and quite surprisingly, you have to go all the way back to the 2007 season when they last won off a bye, beating Oregon 16-0 at home way long ago. However, they haven't won or covered in a true road game off a bye since the 1994-95 school year, as they have posted an abysmal 0-10 ML and ATS record in their L10 games in that situation, with 9 of those losses coming by at least 8 points or more. Since the 2000's began, they are actually 0-8 ML and ATS in their L8 on the road immediately after a bye, with all 8 of those losses coming by more than today's spread. ASU has looked dominant this season at home too, winning all 3 of their other home games against schools not named Oregon, destroying the likes of Utah (37-7); Illinois (45-14) and Northern Arizona (63-6) when playing on their home turf. UCLA pretty much controlled the game the whole way through in their 21-14 win over Utah at home last week, but it wasn't necessarily pretty and it pales in comparison to what ASU did against the same Utah team at home a few weeks back. ASU had 24 first downs to Utah's 10 in their game, while it was a lot closer with UCLA taking a 19-16 edge. ASU also went for 372 yards in the passing game while holding Utah to only 117, while the Bruins were actually out-gained in the passing game against Utah, 244-183. ASU also forced 4 fumbles (recovered 2) and an INT, while UCLA was even in the turnover-margin department with Utah, as they had an INT but also lost a fumble. Not too mention, UCLA was absolutely destroyed by CAL on the road the week before, 43-17, while the Sun Devils actually went into Bears country and escaped with a 27-17 win in their match-up. Not for nothing, but UCLA even lost to Illinois in their bowl game last season, while ASU also beat Illinois in blowout fashion in their second game to kick off this season. We don't hold much stock in that last one, but even still, this Sun Devils team should put this one away early. The Sun Devils are a perfect 5-0 ATS when listed as the favorite so far this season, which includes a 2-0 ATS mark when the spread is anywhere between -5.5 and -7 points in their favor. The home team has also won each of the L4 meetings between the two schools, while also covering in each of the L5 overall between them. The home team is also 8-2 ML in the L10 battles and 7-2 ATS in the L9, with the favorite going 3-1 ATS in the L4 meetings. But still 0-10 ML and ATS in the L2 decades on the road off a bye is just way too much to overlook. Take the ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS to COVER as the home favorite in this one........
BYU COUGARS (+3) (-120) *** (BUY 1/2 point on this one) **
Not sure if the Cougars pull the outright upset here, because Georgia Tech is coming in off a nice win against Boston College last week at home, but BYU presents a lot of good value here, especially if given the odds of a FG spread to cover. BYU is coming in off last week's tough heart-breaker of a loss at Notre Dame, 17-14, and in fact has had all 3 of their road games end in a heart-breaking of a loss fashion this season. Besides that game at Notre Dame last week, they have lost on the road to Boise State, 7-6, and at Utah, 24-21, in which they used a 14-0 4th quarter run and could have at least tied the game in the closing seconds. They have been solid money as the underdog this season, going 2-0 ATS when getting the points and despite being 4-4 ML this season, they have only lost one game by more than 3 points, and that was against a very tough Oregon State squad. We're not even sure Georgia Tech can win this game outright, despite the fact it's on their home turf, as they come into this one having lost two out of their L3 games there against the likes of Miami and Middle Tennessee State. They are 3-2 ATS in their 5 home games as the listed favorite, but the only impressive team they have beaten and covered would be as quality of a caliber as Virginia. Not much. BYU on the other hand is absolutely money on the road in recent seasons, as they have either won outright or lost by 3 points or less in 9 of their L10 true road games since the 2010-11 season. The only loss in that span that was by more than 3 points came in a 38-28 loss at TCU last season, but other than that, here is a lost of their road games, just from the start of last season: at Mississippi (win 14-13); at Texas (lose 17-16); at Oregon State (win 38-28); at TCU (lose 38-28); at Hawaii (win 41-20); at Utah (lose 24-21); at Boise State (lose 7-6) and at Notre Dame (lose 17-14). They have had as many road games decided by 1 point (3) in that span, as they have games decided by more than 3 points (3) and they won 2 of those 3 games that were decided by more than 3 points outright. The other 2 games in the mix, were decided by 3 points. Make sense? It should. Georgia Tech giving 3 points here though, does not. The only thing that scares me, is we all know what happens when the Devil goes down to Georgia. Not that the Cougars or BYU are the Devils in any sense, but there is a religious connection here, so hopefully it works in our favor. BUY a HALF POINT with the BYU COUGARS for this road match-up in Georgia........
There you have it!! TWO MORE FREEBIE WINNERS to kick off your SATURDAY AFTERNOON of NCAA FB!!
Best of luck to all today!! Let's get that money!!
PORT PORT SPORTS