BOOM!!
Well SATURDAY jumped out to a MONSTER start once again, as we swept the TaxSlayer Bowl with the Georgia Bulldogs and the Under!!
Then we picked up another easy PLATINUM TOP PLAY WINNER as the Kansas State/Arkansas game flew over the total easily to give us a PERFECT 3-0 start for +8 UNITS!!
Unfortunately then the bottom dropped on us as we took BAD BEAT after BAD BEAT to finish out our day!! Especially on the college hardwood.....
Syracuse had a 2nd half lead as the +11 point underdog and somehow ended up losing the game and the spread when Miami somehow left the building with a 13-point win!!
It didn't end there either as NC ST blew a late 2nd half, double-digit lead before blowing a -1.5 spread with an OT loss!! And Michigan State completely buzz killed our day in the NCAA BB by winning by 8 and crushing us on the -10 spread there!!
And the FREEBIE DAY to kick off 2016 once again brings us the kryptonite!!
But we don't totally blame you there though folks, as our final PLATINUM TOP PLAY of the night was the biggest heart-breaker of them all, as Oregon blew their 31-0 lead and guaranteed win and cover and somehow ended up blowing the game in 3OT overall!! Just wow.....
And that is the only way they can beat us around here, I swear!! But even still, we still managed to pull out another nearly +2 UNITS of PROFITS on the day, despite having a 3-4 ATS mark!!
2016 TOTALS
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CIRCLE MEMBERS: (6-5) +5.50
TOP PLAY MEMBERS: (3-2) +2.65
Here is the play breakdown we used for day 2 of 2016:
TODAY'S ACTION --
(NCAA FB)
*3 UNITS* GEORGIA BULLDOGS (-6) AND
*2 UNITS* UNDER 43 PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS @ GEORGIA BULLDOGS
Have not been a big fan of this Penn State all season long and if all goes as we expect here today, this one should be over before it even really gets underway as this game represents a seemingly unequal mismatch for today's bowl. Penn State comes into this game after finishing off their season in an absolute tailspin, dropping 3 straight overall both ML and ATS and putting up a measly 1-5 ATS mark over their L6 games. The defense was a but suspect in that stretch, allowing a combined total of 174 points in that span (29 PPG average), while the offense struggled a bit themselves, scoring exactly 16 points in each of their L2 games to finish 2015 and not hitting for more than 21 points in any of their L3 overall. The Nittany Lions haven't exactly been all that ferocious this season, either when playing away from campus or when getting the points as the underdog. They failed to cover in any of their 3 contests this season in which they were getting the points, losing at Ohio State (38-10) as a +18.5 dog, to Michigan at home (28-16) as a +3.5 dog, and at Michigan State (55-16) when they were getting a TD. So once again, in games in which they were getting the points this season, they failed to score higher than 16 points in a single one, while being out-scored 121-42 in those 3 games. They also just couldn't any momentum when not playing on their home turf, as they were a dismal 1-4 ML when playing away from Penn State this season. Besides their two losses on the road mentioned above, they took a 27-10 loss at Temple to open their season, beat Maryland (31-30) on the road a few weeks later and lost at Northwestern (23-21) in the other. They were out-scored 174-88 in those games. Georgia comes into this game having finished their season in the complete opposite fashion, putting together a perfect 4-0 ML mark over their L4 games (3-1 ATS) although arguably against much easier competition. The Bulldogs were also above average when playing on the road this season, going 3-2 ML in their 5 games away from home, including wins in their L2 at fellow bowler Auburn and Georgia Tech. Georgia was a pick or the favored team in every single one of their games this season, going 4-8 ATS overall, but they were busted with an 0-5 ATS stretch that spanned September and October. They were 3-1 ML and ATS in their 3 road games in which they were actually laying points to the other side, with wins over Vanderbilt, Auburn and GT and a loss at Tennessee. Georgia only had one win this season that didn't come by at least 6 points, with a 3-point win at home versus Missouri. This one will most likely end up coming down to the better defense here and once again have to give the edge to the Bulldogs on that side of the ball. Not only did the Georgia defense finish their regular season as the 9th ranked defense in the nation in PPG allowed (16.9) but they are squaring off against a Penn State offense that is without its offensive coordinator, although who's to say that's a problem as they have ranked 106th and 114th in the nation offensively the L2 seasons, while also allowing 39.5 sacks in 12 games this season. But the Nittany Lions will answer with their own defense which has played outstanding at times this season, as evidenced by their #1 ranking in the nation for total sacks and 14th ranked total defense overall. Both teams have struggled against teams with winning records as of late, with Georgia holding a 1-5 ATS mark in their L6 in the situation and Penn State now 1-4 ATS in their L5 in the same. The Nittany Lions are now 0-4 ATS in their L4 games following a ML loss, while also holding a 1-4 ATS mark in their L5 immediately after scoring less than 20 points in their preceding game. Not only did Georgia play to the Under in Jacksonville once already this season (their 27-3 loss against Florida) but there are also a ton of Under trends in play for this one as well. The Under has cashed at a 6-0 rate in each of the Bulldogs L6 games overall, L6 following a win, as well as when playing on grass, as they will be today. Not only that, but the Under has cashed at a perfect 8-0 success mark in their L8 against teams with a winning record. They have stayed below the total at a 5-1 tally in their L6 non-conference games, while the Nittany Lions are 4-1 for the Under in their L5 games versus the SEC. As you can see, I can go on and on here, but roll with the GEORGIA BULLDOGS and the UNDER in today's bowl game......
*3 UNITS* OVER 56 KANSAS STATE WILDCATS @ ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS
Really want to pull the trigger on the Wildcats here as well, but we'll stick with what should be the much safer bet and roll with the Over. Hard to imagine this one not getting out of control early as Arkansas has shown they can put a ton of points on the board early and often striking for totals of 50, 53, 63 and 54 points themselves alone in 4-of-their-L6 contests overall. Kansas State has also managed to top 38 points in 3-of-their-L4 overall, while allowing their opponents to hit for at least 35 in those same games. No surprise then that the Wildcats have cashed at a 3-1 clip for the Over backers in their L4 overall, while putting together a 7-3 record for the Over in their L10 contests. Arkansas is 4-2 for the Over in their L6 games, while the two teams are hitting for the Over 67% of the time when the total has been set in the 50's during the 2015 season. The Razorbacks defense has allowed over 400 YPG overall this season, while also giving up an average of nearly 445 YPG when playing on the road this season. The Wildcats are also allowing 445 YPG defensively this season overall, with a hefty 8 YPP average. Arkansas should have an opportunity for a big play or two here, averaging nearly 9 YPP on offense themselves. Over the L5 games to close out the 2015 regular season, Arkansas averaged 45 PPG. The Kansas State defense allowed an average of 32 PPG in that same span. On the season overall, it's a 35-30 PPG differential for Arkansas in the offense/defense points-per-game battle. Looking on the other side, KSU averaged 30 PPG overall this season, while the Arkansas defense allowed nearly 28 PPG. Have to admit we are going against the trends here as the Under has hit for a perfect 7-0 clip in Arkansas' L7 Bowl games, while also hitting for a 6-1 mark in their L6 neutral site affairs. However, the Wildcats are 4-1 for the Over in their L5 following an ATS win in the previous game. Expect points a plenty in this one and take the OVER in Jacksonville today.....
*3 UNITS* OREGON DUCKS (-7)
This should be a fun one to watch and we do expect a shootout here, but have to give the edge to the mitch hotter of the two teams to close out the season. Oregon has scored 38 points or more in all but one of their L8 games to close out the season, while their opponents have hit the 28 point mark in 5-of-their-L6 overall. Oregon is putting up nearly 550 YPG on offense, while this TCU has been known to allow offensive explosions, averaging just a shade under 400 YPG in total defense. Oregon's defense is allowing nearly 500 yards on defense themselves, but the Horned Frogs should be hindered just enough with the loss of Boykin at QB. That relegates the starting duties to either a senior with somewhere around 350 passing yards on the season or a red-shirt freshman barely breaking the 150 yard passing mark with 2 TD and 3 interceptions. Tough to find the typical TCU offensive firepower to match scores with the Ducks and that hope was further diminished with the news that WR Doctson won't be cleared to play for this one either. Royce Freeman will most likely be the major key to Oregon's success in this one, which looks good considering he is coming off a regular season campaign in which he put up a gawdy 1700+ rushing yards, 14 TD and had 10 games with 100-rushing yards or more. He should have the chance to break through in this one, as the Horned Frogs are allowing 182 YPG on the ground this season. But still, the suspension of Boykin should have the biggest effect here and in all honesty should turn what could have been an instant classic into a one-sided win for the Ducks. Jump on the OREGON DUCKS as the TD favorite in this one.......
(NCAA BB)
MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS (-10)
The Spartans are just too talented for this Gophers squad coming in off an 18-point loss at Ohio State last time out and having posted a pathetic 1-9 ATS mark in their L10 overall. Go with MICHIGAN STATE and expect a blowout.....
SYRACUSE ORANGE (+11)
Okay, so what are we missing here? Not quite sure why this spread is so out of whack, but we'll take our chances here with an always tough Orange squad that has lost by more than 11 points only once all season long. Syracuse is now 10-4 ML on the season, with their 4 losses coming by 8 (Wisconsin), 7 (@Georgetown), 12 (@St. John's) and 11 points (@Pittsburgh) respectively. They have been pretty abysmal on the road so far this season, going 1-3 ML and ATS in their 4 games away from campus. They are also now 2-2 ATS when playing as the underdog so far this season. Miami has been absolute money on the young season already going 11-1 ML with their only loss coming in a 78-77 decision against Northeastern. The Hurricanes are 8-3 ATS overall this season, but are 4-2 ATS when playing as a double-digit favorite below 20 points. Still have to go with Syracuse here to keep this one within 11. Take the SYRACUSE ORANGE in Miami.....
NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK (-1.5)
Have to give the edge to the Pack here as they have gotten out to a blazing start to the 2015-16 season, going 10-3 ML overall, having won 6 straight and posting an 8-1 ML mark in their L9 games. The Holies on the other hand head into today's game fresh off two disappointing blowout losses, losing by 17 to St. Joe's (PA) and by 23 against West Virginia their last time out. In fact, Virginia Tech has been horrendous in games with a listed spread lately, posting a 1-4 ML and ATS mark in the L5 with a spread. They are an equally worse 2-5 ATS on the season. Go with NC STATE for the WIN in today's meeting.....
And the overall breakdown:
NCAA FB: (6-2 ATS) +8.65 UNITS
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SIDES: (4-2) +2.65 UNITS
TOTALS: (2-0) +6.00 UNITS
NCAA BB: (0-3) -3.15 UNITS
=================================
SIDES: (0-3) -3.15 UNITS
We are off to a great start to the NEW YEAR and it is ONLY going to get better from here!! We only need 244.50 UNITS to get to our goal of 250+ UNITS of NET PROFITS for the calendar year!!
And best of all we are still giving you the chance to CASH IN HUGE with some AMAZING SPECIAL OFFERS to become a MEMBER....
$155 FOR JANUARY CIRCLE MEMBER PACKAGE!!
OR
$255 FOR JANUARY TOP PLAY MEMBERS PACKAGE!!
With even bigger offers for you to DESTROY YOUR BOOKIE for the entire year!!
$1099 FOR THE CIRCLE MEMBER YEARLY PACKAGE!!
OR
$1699 FOR THE TOP PLAY YEARLY PACKAGE!!
There really is no better time to get on board than RIGHT NOW!! We are going to continue rolling through JANUARY and the rest of 2016!!
Get on board and start WINNING today!! With the #1 SPORTS HANDICAPPER still in the game today......