We are doing it again!! Just like during the 2011-2012 season, we are releasing every play for the 2012 NCAA FB season right on the website!! No gimmicks, no games!! This is every play our MEMBERS receive all season long!!
Last season we posted a 161-100 record on the regular season in the NCAA FB overall and from week #1 to the final BOWL game, we CASHED IN for a whopping +90 UNITS of PROFITS in the NCAA FB!!
Our MEMBERS also posted a HUGE PROFITABLE NFL SEASON as we added ANOTHER +60 UNITS in PROFITS in the NFL!!
Combined with the NFL profits, last season was a booming 150+ UNITS in ALL FOOTBALL ACTION COMBINED!!
WEEK #15: (1-1) +0.95 UNITS
It was a small, short week, but we ended up making another worthwhile week of action, as we hit for our big unit winner, and picked up another near UNIT of action for the week overall.
*2 UNITS* UNDER 55.5 NAVY MIDSHIPMEN @ ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS
*1 UNIT* NAVY MIDSHIPMEN (-7)
WEEK #14: (8-4) +4.80 UNITS
It was ANOTHER GREAT WEEK of NCAA FB action to wind down our regular season as we had a MONSTER FRIDAY night in which we went a PERFECT 4-0 and picked up +5 UNITS!! The rest of the week was pretty much break even, but once again, we CRUSHED IT in the COLLEGE PIGSKIN action!! Can't wait for the BOWL SEASON to begin!!
*2 UNITS* KENT STATE GOLDEN FLASHES (+7.5)
*2 UNITS* UCLA BRUINS (+9)
OVER 62 TEXAS LONGHORNS @ KANSAS STATE WILDCATS
OVER 50 NEBRASKA HUSKERS @ WISCONSIN BADGERS
RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS (-3)
OKLAHOMA SOONERS (-6)
OVER 71 KANSAS JAYHAWKS @ WEST VIRGINA MOUNTAINEERS
1ST HALF: CINCINNATI BEARCATS (-2.5)
OVER 88 OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS @ BAYLOR BEARS
ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE (-7.5)
*0.5 UNITS* OVER 57.5 NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES @ KENT STATE GOLDEN FLASHES
*0.5 UNITS* OVER 47 UCLA BRUINS @ STANFORD CARDINAL
WEEK #13: (8-1) +7.45 UNITS
Boom!! It was ANOTHER HUGE WEEK of NCAA FB action as we kicked it off with a PERFECT 6-0 ATS start and ended up the weekend on a HUGE note as we finished it off 8-1 ATS and picked up NEARLY 8 UNITS in PROFITS!! We just continue to roll through the NCAA FB action and once again, have proved ourselves to be the ABSOLUTE BEST FOOTBALL HANDICAPPER IN THE GAME TODAY!!
*2 UNITS* AKRON ZIPS (+19.5)
OVER 71 ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS @ ARIZONA WILDCATS
ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS (+2.5)
OVER 71.5 OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS @ OKLAHOMA SOONERS
FLORIDA GATORS (+7)
STANFORD CARDINAL (-2.5)
NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH (-4.5)
*0.5 UNITS* UNDER 63.5 AKRON ZIPS @ TOLEDO ROCKETS
WEEK #12: (10-7) +2.65 UNITS
Yup, once again we put together another HUGE SATURDAY of NCAA FB action, as we jumped out to a PERFECT 5-0 ATS in our TOP 5 PLAYS on the day once again!! We gave a little of it back towards the end of the night, losing one play in OT on LA TECH and having the Boilermakers win the game outright, but fall a FG short of covering the spread. But once again, we put together ANOTHER WINNING WEEK in the NCAA FB action, and in the end, that is what it is all about!!
NEBRASKA HUSKERS (-21)
1ST HALF: NEBRASKA HUSKERS (-11)
RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS (+6.5)
NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS (+7)
OVER 72.5 TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS @ OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS
LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS (+3.5)
PURDUE BOILERMAKERS (-6)
OHIO STATE BUCKEYES (+2.5)
WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS (+24)
USC TROJANS (-4)
SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS (+3)
UTAH UTES (-3)
NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS (-3.5)
UNDER 61 NORTH CAROLINA @ VIRGINIA
TOLEDO ROCKETS (+10)
OHIO BOBCATS (+6.5)
OVER 68 TOLEDO ROCKETS @ NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES
WEEK #11: (8-9) -0.80 UNITS
It was a rough comeback from the PERFECT 9-0 ATS Saturday we put up last week, but it wasn't all bad. We ended up almost breaking even for the most part and that was largely thanks to a rough run in the Thursday and Friday night games in which we only picked up 1 win in 4 plays. But Saturday was another big night, as we finished off the week on a 4-1 ATS run, picking up 4 UNITS to get us right back to the near break-even mark. And once again, we kept the profits intact from the week before. Onto week #12......
*3 UNITS* BALL STATE CARDINALS (+6.5)
*2 UNITS* WASHINGTON HUSKIES MONEY LINE (+110)
*2 UNITS* OHIO BOBCATS MONEY LINE (-125)
*2 UNITS* PITTSBURGH PANTHERS (-3)
OVER 68.5 LOUISIANA TECH @ NORTH TEXAS
KANSAS STATE WILDCATS (-6.5) AND OVER 56.5 KANSAS STATE @ TCU
NEBRASKA HUSKERS (-8.5)
KENT STATE GOLDEN FLASHES (-10.5)
WISCONSIN BADGERS (-7)
WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS (+7)
IOWA STATE CYCLONES (+9.5)
LOUISVILLE CARDINALS (-2)
UNDER 43.5 PITTSBURGH PANTHERS @ CONNECTICUT HUSKIES
FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES (-12.5)
LOUISIANA MONROE WARHAWKS (+7)
OVER 69.5 BALL STATE CARDINALS @ TOLEDO ROCKETS
WEEK #10: (12-2) +12.90 UNITS
BOOM!! WE ABSOLUTELY DESTROYED THE BOOKIES OF OUR MEMBERS WITH THIS WEEK'S NCAA FB ACTION!! We headed into the weekend with a 3-2 record and just under 1 UNIT of PROFITS and then we ABSOLUTELY CRUSHED the SATURDAY NCAA FB action as we had a PERFECT 9-0 ATS SATURDAY IN NCAA FB!! That's right!! A PERFECT 9-0 ATS Saturday in NCAA FB for +12 UNITS OF NET PROFITS!! And almost as good, but even better for the FREEBIE PLAYERS, but we destroyed your bookie too, by posting a PERFECT 6-0 ATS record in the FREEBIE NCAA FB action for Saturday too!! And once again, PORT PORT SPORTS absolutely OWNS ALL FOOTBALL ACTION!!
*2 UNITS* ARKANSAS STATE RED WOLVES (-4)
*2 UNITS* OVER 70.5 OREGON DUCKS @ USC TROJANS
*2 UNITS* OREGON DUCKS (-8)
KANSAS STATE WILDCATS (-7.5)
OVER 71 ARIZONA WILDCATS @ UCLA BRUINS
SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS (+16.5)
PITTSBURGH PANTHERS (+17)
PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS (-3)
CONNECTICUT HUSKIES (+7.5)
OVER 51 WASHINGTON HUSKIES @ CAL GOLDEN BEARS
WASHINGTON HUSKIES (+4)
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE BLUE RAIDERS (+8.5)
OVER 54.5 MIDDLE TENN ST @ WESTERN KENTUCKY
VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES (-1.5)
WEEK #9: (9-9) -2.55 UNITS
*3 UNITS* NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK (+7.5) AND *0.5 UNITS* NC STATE MONEY LINE (+250)
This one should not be this high, but for some reason the books are giving all the love to the Tar Heels for this in-state rivalry. Expect this number to definitely drop by game-time and we'll go with the NC ST team that is coming in off 2 straight wins by 2 points or less, including a huge upset win over Florida State at home two weeks ago, 17-16. Their only loss this season was against an up-and-down Miami Hurricanes team in Florida, 44-37, but other than that, they have posted a 2-1 ML record in their 3 road games, although they have also gone 0-2-1 ATS in those games. However, they were the favorite in 2 of those 3 games and won by a score of 20-18 when favored by -4 points at Maryland last weekend, and pushed when they won, 10-7, and were favored by -3 points in their first road game of the season at UCONN. But more than a TD difference seems like way to much of an advantage to give to North Carolina here, especially when you also factor in the Tar Heels track record so far this season in their games played. They did beat that same Hurricanes squad in Miami two weeks ago, in a completely different style of game, 18-14, but they are coming in off a 33-30 loss at the hands of Duke in the Blue Devils home stadium last week. The Tar Heels are a perfect 4-0 ML and ATS in their 4 home games so far this season, but their wins have come against a lower quality Virginia Tech squad, and three cupcakes in Idaho, East Carolina and Elon. They have destroyed their opponents by a combined score of 203-40 in those games. Maybe the road has been their downfall, as UNC is 1-3 ML and 0-4 ATS when playing away from home, or maybe it is the fact they actually play much better competition like they will face today, with their road foes being Louisville, Duke, Wake Forest and Miami. The Wolfpack have also dominated this match-up in recent seasons, winning 5 straight meetings and holding a 6-1 ML record in their L7 games against their North Carolina foes overall. The Wolfpack have also posted a perfect 5-0 ATS record in their L5 meetings, with the L4 wins against the spread coming as listed underdogs of +3.5 (won 13-0), +2.5 (won 29-25), +5.5 (won 28-27) and +11 (won 41-10), while also winning each of the L2 meetings played at UNC. Take the NC STATE WOLFPACK on the SPREAD and MONEY LINE here today........
*3 UNITS* TCU HORNED FROGS (+7) AND *1 UNIT* OVER 63.5 TCU FROGS @ OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS
This one just smells like it has shootout written all over it as both of these offenses can put points on the board in a hurry and should be airing the ball out early and often for this one. TCU comes into this one off an explosive 56-53 OT loss against Texas Tech last week, which was a week after putting 49 on the board at Baylor, in destroying the Bears 49-21 in that one. The Horned Frogs have been money on the road as well so far this season, winning all 3 of their games away from home, and although they have only posted a 1-2 ATS record in those 3 games, they are 1-0 ATS when listed as the underdog so far this season, with the only time being that outright blowout of Baylor when they were listed as +6 point underdogs. Oklahoma State is coming in off an impressive win over one of our top 2 plays last week, Iowa State, with a 31-10 win over the Cyclones in ultimate impressive fashion, but they should have their hands completely full with a TCU offense that has scored 102 points in their L2 games. Oklahoma has gone for at least 31 points in each of their 4 home games this season themselves, with two of those wins seeing them score 65 points or more, but those were against the likes of Louisiana-Lafayette (65-24) and Savannah State (84-0). They did suffer their only home loss this season at the hands of the now exposed Texas squad, 41-36, and they should have a tough go of it offensively against a TCU defense that has allowed 47 total points in their 3 road games this season. TCU is also 5-2 ML on the season so far, but only one of those losses was by more than a mere FG and the Horned Frogs come into this one having won 7 straight games away from home outright!! That's right, they are 7-0 ML in their L7 on the road dating back to last season. Their last loss on the road was their season opener last season, when they lost to a RG3 lead Baylor squad, 50-48, and in fact, the Horned Frogs haven't lost by more than 3 points on the road since the 2008-09 season, while they have also posted an amazing 18-1 ML record in their L19 true road games overall in that span. 18-1!! Even further, they are 24-6 ML in their L30 games played on the road, with only 1 of those losses coming by more than 3 points. So 29 of their L30 games on the road have either been an outright win by TCU or a loss by 3 points or less!! Unbelievable. Jump on the TCU HORNED FROGS and the OVER in this shootout.........
*2 UNITS* CINCINNATI BEARCATS (+3.5)
*2 UNITS* NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH (+12.5)
Okay, so Notre Dame owns the match-up between these two teams and although we can't necessarily see any way the Irish actually pull off the upset in this game, we have been ignoring them long enough to let a double-digit spread slip through our fingers here today. This spread seems a tad too high, even despite the fact that this will be the Irish first true road game this season, after picking up two road wins against Navy in Dublin and Michigan State at Soldier Field. They are a perfect 7-0 ML through their first 7 games as they have become the surprise highlight of the 2012 season, and they have put together a 1-0 ATS record in their lone game when getting the points, with their upset 20-13 win over Michigan State at Soldier Field when playing as the +4.5 point underdog. They will have no easy task in Norman here today, as they face off against a Sooners team that has suffered only one hiccup so far this season, coming in the form of a 24-19 loss against Kansas State at home. Otherwise they are 5-1 ML and 4-2 ATS and have destroyed their opponents at home by an average score of 50-16, with some impressive blowout wins against Texas and Kansas in that mix. However, the Irish are no Texas or Kansas. This team is much better and much stronger than any team besides Kansas State that Oklahoma will have faced so far this season. Go with NOTRE DAME to COVER as the huge road underdog here.......
*2 UNITS* ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS (-6.5)
Only fitting that we should follow that write-up with this pick as everything just seems like all systems go for this ASU team that will be ready to steam-roll after picking up a "moral" victory by holding Oregon scoreless in the second half of their 43-21 loss last Thursday night. They also happened to outscore the Ducks 14-0 in that half, although that probably isn't saying much as they played mostly back-ups, 3rd and even 4th stringers in mop-up duty for that one. UCLA is coming in off their bye week for this one, but that hasn't been a good thing for them in recent seasons, not too mention, they didn't look all that great heading into the bye week this season. They have had 3 bye weeks in the L2 seasons, and have come out and posted a dismal 0-3 ML and ATS record in their 3 follow-up games, having been outscored by a combined tally of 132-32 by the likes of Arizona, Washington and Oregon in those 3 games. Even if you take out the 60-13 Oregon beat-down, it is still a combined beating of 72-19 against Arizona and Washington. Like today's game, all 3 of those were on the road, but unlike today's games, each of those 3 games were actually played on a Thursday night following a bye week. Going even further, they are 0-5 ML and ATS in their L5 road games immediately off a bye and 0-6 ML and ATS in the L6 off a bye since the 2008-09 season. That includes a 34-9 whooping at the hands of ASU on the road as well in that span. In fact, and quite surprisingly, you have to go all the way back to the 2007 season when they last won off a bye, beating Oregon 16-0 at home way long ago. However, they haven't won or covered in a true road game off a bye since the 1994-95 school year, as they have posted an abysmal 0-10 ML and ATS record in their L10 games in that situation, with 9 of those losses coming by at least 8 points or more. Since the 2000's began, they are actually 0-8 ML and ATS in their L8 on the road immediately after a bye, with all 8 of those losses coming by more than today's spread. ASU has looked dominant this season at home too, winning all 3 of their other home games against schools not named Oregon, destroying the likes of Utah (37-7); Illinois (45-14) and Northern Arizona (63-6) when playing on their home turf. UCLA pretty much controlled the game the whole way through in their 21-14 win over Utah at home last week, but it wasn't necessarily pretty and it pales in comparison to what ASU did against the same Utah team at home a few weeks back. ASU had 24 first downs to Utah's 10 in their game, while it was a lot closer with UCLA taking a 19-16 edge. ASU also went for 372 yards in the passing game while holding Utah to only 117, while the Bruins were actually out-gained in the passing game against Utah, 244-183. ASU also forced 4 fumbles (recovered 2) and an INT, while UCLA was even in the turnover-margin department with Utah, as they had an INT but also lost a fumble. Not too mention, UCLA was absolutely destroyed by CAL on the road the week before, 43-17, while the Sun Devils actually went into Bears country and escaped with a 27-17 win in their match-up. Not for nothing, but UCLA even lost to Illinois in their bowl game last season, while ASU also beat Illinois in blowout fashion in their second game to kick off this season. We don't hold much stock in that last one, but even still, this Sun Devils team should put this one away early. The Sun Devils are a perfect 5-0 ATS when listed as the favorite so far this season, which includes a 2-0 ATS mark when the spread is anywhere between -5.5 and -7 points in their favor. The home team has also won each of the L4 meetings between the two schools, while also covering in each of the L5 overall between them. The home team is also 8-2 ML in the L10 battles and 7-2 ATS in the L9, with the favorite going 3-1 ATS in the L4 meetings. But still 0-10 ML and ATS in the L2 decades on the road off a bye is just way too much to overlook. Take the ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS to COVER as the home favorite in this one........
*2 UNITS* TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS (+7.5) AND *1 UNIT* OVER 60.5 TEXAS TECH @ KANSAS STATE
Okay, there is good reason to suspect this game could be another one of those shootouts and could come down to the wire, with Texas Tech putting forth a much better effort than most people are expecting here. Texas Tech comes in off an impressive 56-53 OT win over the above-mentioned TCU squad last week and should have enough in the tank to put points on the board and keep this one close against a Kansas State team that might be facing this tough Tech team at an inopportune time for the Wildcats. Yes, Kansas State has rolled into this season with a perfect 7-0 ML record and 5-1-1 ATS record to kick off 2012 so far, they haven't fared well in recent seasons when playing at home off of 2 or more road games in the proceeding weeks beforehand. In fact, they haven't won a game against a bowl-eligible school in that situation since the 2005-06 school year, dropping 6 straight games against teams that have real NCAA FB programs in that span. In fact, only a bowl game loss against Syracuse after 3 straight road games was the only time in that span that Kansas State lost by less than double digits. So yes, Kansas State is 0-5 ML and ATS in their L5 games when playing at home off 2 straight road games. And they have lost all 5 of those games by 10 points or more. Something about returning to campus just doesn't sit well with this team. Maybe Manhattan, Kansas has more to it than any of us could have imagined. And don't tell me this is a different Kansas State team either. Case in point, just last season this Wildcats team was a perfect 7-0 ML when coming into a home game against Oklahoma. They had just picked up 2 straight road wins against Kansas and Texas Tech (by 7 points) the week before. They were destroyed by Oklahoma 58-17. The year before that, they were coming in with a 5-2 ML record and were coming off a tough loss against Baylor and RG3. They dropped the game 24-14. And Texas Tech does appear to have all the credentials to keep up in the scoring department with Kansas State too, as although Kansas State has scored 50 or more points in 4 of their 7 games so far this season, the Red Raiders have managed to put at least 44 points on the board or more in 5 of their 7 games as well. And although Kansas State won last season's meeting by a TD, the Red Raiders have dominated this match-up, having picked up the win in 6 of the L7 meetings between the two schools since the 2001-02 school year. In fact, in the L10 meetings, Kansas State has only won by more than a TD in only 1 contest, a 13-2 win at Texas Tech way back in the early 1990's. Both of these schools have dominated the spread lately though, so it will be interesting to see which way that stat goes, as Texas Tech has posted a 6-1 ATS record to kick off 2012, with a 2-1 ATS record when getting the points, while the Wildcats have posted that 5-1-1 ATS record overall, although they are also 3-1-1 ATS when giving the points. When these two teams have faced off in recent seasons, they have played to the over, with all of the L4 meetings having the two teams combine for at least 75 points or more. Each of their L5 meetings has seen them combine for 60 points or more. One team has also managed to score at least 41 points in each of the L4 meetings, with the winner scoring 58 points or more in 3 of those contests. Take the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS as the huge underdogs and also play the OVER here..........
BYU COUGARS (+3) (-120) *** (BUY 1/2 point on this one) **
Not sure if the Cougars pull the outright upset here, because Georgia Tech is coming in off a nice win against Boston College last week at home, but BYU presents a lot of good value here, especially if given the odds of a FG spread to cover. BYU is coming in off last week's tough heart-breaker of a loss at Notre Dame, 17-14, and in fact has had all 3 of their road games end in a heart-breaking of a loss fashion this season. Besides that game at Notre Dame last week, they have lost on the road to Boise State, 7-6, and at Utah, 24-21, in which they used a 14-0 4th quarter run and could have at least tied the game in the closing seconds. They have been solid money as the underdog this season, going 2-0 ATS when getting the points and despite being 4-4 ML this season, they have only lost one game by more than 3 points, and that was against a very tough Oregon State squad. We're not even sure Georgia Tech can win this game outright, despite the fact it's on their home turf, as they come into this one having lost two out of their L3 games there against the likes of Miami and Middle Tennessee State. They are 3-2 ATS in their 5 home games as the listed favorite, but the only impressive team they have beaten and covered would be as quality of a caliber as Virginia. Not much. BYU on the other hand is absolutely money on the road in recent seasons, as they have either won outright or lost by 3 points or less in 9 of their L10 true road games since the 2010-11 season. The only loss in that span that was by more than 3 points came in a 38-28 loss at TCU last season, but other than that, here is a lost of their road games, just from the start of last season: at Mississippi (win 14-13); at Texas (lose 17-16); at Oregon State (win 38-28); at TCU (lose 38-28); at Hawaii (win 41-20); at Utah (lose 24-21); at Boise State (lose 7-6) and at Notre Dame (lose 17-14). They have had as many road games decided by 1 point (3) in that span, as they have games decided by more than 3 points (3) and they won 2 of those 3 games that were decided by more than 3 points outright. The other 2 games in the mix, were decided by 3 points. Make sense? It should. Georgia Tech giving 3 points here though, does not. The only thing that scares me, is we all know what happens when the Devil goes down to Georgia. Not that the Cougars or BYU are the Devils in any sense, but there is a religious connection here, so hopefully it works in our favor. BUY a HALF POINT with the BYU COUGARS for this road match-up in Georgia........
MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS (+6) AND OVER 40.5 MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS @ WISCONSIN BADGERS
The Spartans get the edge for this one despite the fact that the Badgers have showed some extremely rejuvenated play in their last few games, picking up 3 straight wins in blowout fashion over the likes of Minnesota, Purdue and Illinois, having not allowed any of those schools to score more than 14 points in any one of those games. And this Wisconsin team hasn't been as bad as the public perception about them would have you believe, as they have posted a 6-2 ML record through their first 8 games and their only two losses were by 3 points each, to both Oregon State and Nebraska. There first two home wins came in pretty unimpressive fashion, as they held on to beat Northern Iowa, 26-21, and barely escaped with a win against Utah State, 16-14. However, in their 3 games in Madison since then, they have average over 35 PPG on offense, while keeping the opponents to an average of just over 17 PPG in all 5 games played at Wisconsin this season. Michigan State is no push-over themselves, and they come into today's game having only lost one game this season by more than 3 points, when they lost 20-3 in their 3rd game of the season at home against #5 Notre Dame. Michigan State is only 4-4 ML on the season overall, but 3 of their 4 losses have come by a combined total of 6 points against some quality teams at Michigan (lost 12-10); against Iowa (lost 19-16) and at Ohio State (lost 17-16). The Spartans are currently 2-1 ML and ATS in their 3 road games in 2012, with 2 of those 3 games decided by 4 points or less, one being the loss at Michigan by 2. They are a perfect 1-0 ATS when listed as the underdog this season, with the only time that happening being last game against Michigan and dating back to last season, they are 3-0 ATS in their L3 games when playing as the underdog and 5-1 ATS in their L6 when getting the points. The home team has won each of the L8 meetings between the two schools, with Wisconsin going a perfect 4-0 ML at home in that span, but 4 of the L6 meetings have been decided by 6 points or less and 5 of the L6 have been decided by 8 or less. Wisconsin edged out a 42-39 win last season at home with an amazing finish to that game, but 2 of the L3 meetings have been decided by 3 points or less when playing in Wisconsin. As for the over, these two teams haven't combined to score less than 49 points in any of their L10 battles against each other since 2001, and they are averaging a combined total of 68+ PPG in their L4 meetings against each other overall. To be fair though, Michigan State has been playing to the Under this season, posting a 1-6-1 record for the Over/Under, while Wisconsin has played to 5 straight Overs and is 5-2 for the Over on the season. Wisconsin has also played to the Over at a 10-0-1 clip in their L11 October games as well. Jump on the MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS and the OVER in this Big Ten meeting........
1ST HALF: OREGON DUCKS (-30) AND 1ST HALF: OVER 35.5 COLORADO BUFFALOES @ OREGON DUCKS
We just see this one being about 42-0 at halftime, pretty much like it was last week for Oregon at Arizona State. As for Colorado, we gave them a little bit of hope last week against USC when they were laying 40+ points there, but they disappointed in a major way, losing 50-6 and being outscored 36-6 in the first half by the Trojans. They lost 45-2 in their battle last season, with the Ducks outscoring the Buffaloes, 35-0, in the first half alone. Colorado has to face off against what should be an angry Ducks team looking for blood on their home turf, as someway, somehow, the Ducks dropped lower in the polls. They will want to put this one in the 40's in the first half if they can. They have a good chance of doing that, as they have busted ASU, 43-7, last week in the first half and they were up 35-7 at home against Washington the week prior to that. In fact, they have outscored their home opponents in the first half by scores of 13-0 (Arizona); 35-7 (Tennessee Tech); 35-6 (Fresno State); and 50-10 over Arkansas State. They have scored at least 35 points or more in the first half in 4 of their 5 home games this season and shouldn't allow more than a TD against this pathetic Colorado offense that had 6 turnovers in USC territory last week and 4 within the Trojans 20. Go with the OREGON DUCKS and the OVER in today's game.......
OVER 58.5 MICHIGAN WOLVERINES @ NEBRASKA HUSKERS
CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS (+2.5)
UNLV RUNNIN' REBELS (+17.5)
CLEMSON TIGERS (-13)
OVER 60 CLEMSON TIGERS @ WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS
WEEK #8: (9-12) -3.95 UNITS
Another weekend of NCAA FB action and once again, we ended up breaking even for the most part. We jumped out to a perfect 2-0 start with an easy sweep on our Tuesday Night Action, but followed it up with a paltry performance on Saturday as we went 4-4 on our Top Plays and ended up dropping a little over a UNIT overall. We are going to put together a HUGE RUN in our NCAA FB action!! This is a GUARANTEE!! We made nearly 100 UNITS alone in the NCAA FB action last year and we are going to get to 50 UNITS of PROFITS AT LEAST this season!! We still have 8 more weeks to go.....
*4 UNITS* BYU COUGARS (+12.5)
Just like BYU to come out tough in this game on the road, playing against a ND team that could be due for an emotional letdown after last week's exciting goal-line stand win that was not without its controversy, and have Oklahoma on the schedule for next week. Notre Dame may, and should, win the game, but this could be a snooze-fest the whole way through as despite their impressive resume so far in 2012, Notre Dame has not been beating their foes all that convincingly in front of Touchdown Jesus. They have only won one home game by more than 7 points (Miami 41-3) with games against Purdue (20-17), Michigan (13-6) and last week's win versus Stanford, 20-13. BYU looked pretty bad last week in a 42-24 blowout loss against Oregon State, but perhaps they themselves were caught looking ahead to this game as their only other 2 losses this season were by a combined 4 points. They are 0-2 ML and only 1-1 ATS on the road this season, but that is a bit misleading, as again they lost at Boise State, 7-6, in their last road game and a week before that, lost in the final seconds at Utah, 24-21. They should be able to definitely keep this one within 10 points I would say, absolutely within the 12.5. Roll with the BYU COUGARS in today's battle........
*4 UNITS* IOWA STATE CYCLONES (+13.5)
There is a trend in play here that has the Cyclones covering at a 7-3 ATS clip in 2012. Plus they are coming in off an impressive win ATS last week against one of the toughest teams in the country in Kansas State, losing 27-21 at home. They destroyed a TCU team the week before that, but that was on the news of the DUI arrest for Pachall. However, TCU responded by blowing out Baylor last week, so maybe that win was even more impressive than originally thought of for ISU. This one just seems like the should be able to keep it closer than within 2 TD, as you'd have to go back to their game against Oklahoma in November of last season, for the last time they have lost by more than 14 points. This Cowboys team isn't as good as recent years either, as the only games they have won this season were at Kansas (20-14); against Louisiana-Lafayette (65-24) and Savannah State (84-0). They lost at home to Texas and on the road at Arizona and despite their pretty cupcake schedule, they have only managed a 1-3 ATS record in 2012 so far. Iowa State is 3-2-1 ATS this season, but 3-1-1 ATS when playing as the underdog. IOWA STATE for the COVER here......
*3 UNITS* COLORADO BUFFALOES (+39.5)
No real trend in play here, but as far as I could see in my research, when the number is +37.5 or above it is 8-0 ATS in its L8 situations according to our closing line on our odds tracker. The Trojans aren't necessarily blowing anyone out this season and 40 points just seems like it might be a bit too much here, even though Colorado is just plain awful. But 40+ points?! And against an 8-0 ATS record when the number is that high?! And on further look, USC has never beaten Colorado by more than 37 points in their history against each other, although they have only played 3 times. Their biggest blowout was by 39 against Hawaii at home in week 1. Colorado should be able to keep it within 40, I would think. Take the COLORADO BUFFALOES with the massive points.......
UNDER 56 LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE RAGIN' CAJUNS @ NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN
NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN (+4)
Okay, so again we are going against public perception in this one as we suspect the Mean Green will keep this Tuesday night match-up with the Ragin' Cajuns tight and might even be able to sneak the outright upset on their home field here. There is a trend in play that suggests the Mean Green as it is 11-3 ATS in the L14 situations and North Texas has managed to play Louisiana Lafayette tough in recent seasons at home. Lafayette has a 3-1ML record in the L4 meetings in North Texas, but 2 of those 3 wins have been decided by 3 or less points. Lafayette has won 6 straight meetings between the two schools, but the underdog has posted a 5-2 record in their L7 meetings as well, including 2 of the L3 meetings played in North Texas. Take NORTH TEXAS and the UNDER in tonight's snoozer......
OREGON DUCKS (-7.5) AND OVER 68.5 OREGON DUCKS @ ASU SUN DEVILS
0-17!! That is Arizona State's record in their L17 games against opponents ranked in the top 10. This line was heavily bet down from its opening spread of -12, thanks to the wiseguys out there, but we'll take Oregon to pick up what should end up being an easy at least 8 point win. The Sun Devils really shouldn't have enough to hang with this much too talented Oregon Ducks squad, and although they will have a 19-year old freshman QB under center, that really shouldn't be much of a problem. The Ducks, as usual, have been clicking on all cylinders once again this season, as Oregon has produced at least 42 points in all 6 of their games this season, even going for 49 or more in 5 of them. They have actually outscored their opponents by a total of 314-120. That has equated to an average margin of victory of 32+ PPG, as they are putting an average of 52 points on the board through their first 6 games, while their opponents are averaging a mere 20. The Sun Devils have been a pleasant surprise for the Pac-12 this season, as they come into this one on an impressive 5-1 ML and ATS start to this season and have had their only loss at Missouri decided by a mere 4 points in a late comeback by the home team. They come into this one having won 3 straight games in impressive fashion as well, destroying Colorado on the road last week, 52-17, and beating Cal on the Bears home turf the week prior to that, 27-17. They destroyed Utah, 37-7, at home 3 weeks ago to kick off this little stretch they are currently on as well, so this team is impressive and legit in a lot of ways themselves. However, despite being 5-0 ATS as the favorite so far this season, they are, yup, you guessed it, 0-1 ATS as an underdog, with the only game seeing them getting points being the Missouri loss. And yes, Oregon is also 2-4 ATS this season themselves, but they have yet to win a game by less than 17 points this season and have had 5 of their 6 games decided by 24 points or more, although to be fair, Arizona State is most likely the best competition they have faced so far. But Oregon has showed up in Pac-12 games lately, winning each of their L9 games, while they have scored at least 40 points in all 9 of those games. In their 3 conference games this season against Washington, Arizona and Washington State, they have scored 49 points or more in each game, with a margin of victory of 152-47 in those games. Arizona State just really doesn't have the ability to be much of a difference than those other outcomes. We could very easily see this one being a 20+ point win by the Ducks, or they could squeak by the spread with a 10 point win or so. Either way, there really is nothing that suggests this ASU team won't struggle, and their young budding QB, Kelly, should do something he hasn't done much of yet this season: turn the ball over. He has 14 TD and 2 INT to kick off his season, but he will be facing the nation's 5th ranked red zone defense and we expect a key turnover here at perhaps a crucial point in the game could end up being the deciding edge. Defense has been a huge strength for the Sun Devils this season as they are currently ranked 5th in the nation against the pass and 9th in the nation overall in total yards allowed, and have been impressive against the run as well, as they have allowed less than 130 YPG against the run. Even still, tonight should just be too much, as the Ducks are also coming in off a bye week, so I am assuming they will have a ground and pound attack ready to go for this D tonight. The Sun Devils are also now 0-3 ATS since the end of the 2010 season when listed as the underdog, while Oregon is 7-1 ATS in their L8 games when listed as a favorite of -30 or less. In fact, they are 2-0 ATS this season when favored by anything less than 30 points as well. In fact, the Ducks haven't lost a road game since the 2009 season, which has equated to 12 straight wins when playing on the road, with only one of those wins in that span coming by less than 11 points. In 6 straight games, they have scored at least 34 points or more, with 3 of those games topping the 50-point mark. They have also topped 34 points in 13 of their L14 road games, also hitting at least the 40-point mark in 11 of those games. Not too mention, the Ducks have won 7 straight over the Sun Devils, scoring at least 41 points in 4 straight meetings and in 5 of the last 6. Not one of those Oregon wins has been decided by less than 11 points either. Oregon has posted a 4-0 ML and ATS record in the L4 games played in Tempe, with those 4 wins coming by 11, 34, 35 and 14 points respectively. Oregon has also won each of their L6 games off of a bye week, with each of those wins coming by 24 points or more. Take the OREGON DUCKS as the small favorite and play the OVER........
HOUSTON COUGARS (-5)
Houston has seemed to find their rhythm once again, as they have won 3 straight coming into today's meeting and have managed to cover the spread in each of those games. They have posted a perfect 3-0 ML and ATS record when listed as the favorite so far in 2012 (they are 0-2 ML and ATS as the underdog) while they have also gone 1-1 ML and ATS on the road, with their only loss coming in blowout fashion at UCLA, 37-6. Fortunately for us, SMU is no UCLA, and despite the fact that we do still think they are on the upside still, they just shouldn't have enough to keep up with this Houston squad. Especially if history has anything to do with it. Houston has completely dominated Houston in recent meetings, winning each of the L6 meetings since 2006, and holding a 9-1 ML record in the L10 meetings dating way back in 1994. Houston rolled a 30-point win last season, although that was a bit of a different Cougars squad, although it doesn't seem to really matter what Cougars squad shows up to play this Mustangs team. In each of those L6 meetings, the Cougars have managed to score at least 37 points, and they have also topped that point total in 8 of the L10 meetings between the two interstate rivals. They are also a perfect 4-0 ML and 3-1 ATS in the L4 meetings played at SMU. None of the L6 wins have been decided by less than 10 points and there have only been 2 meetings in the L10 that have been decided by 5 points or less. One was an SMU win in Houston back in 2005, and the other was a 2-point Houston win at home back in 2000. Otherwise, it has pretty much been all Houston, all day. SMU has lost 3 of their L4, but they have been playing tough, as they come in off a 1-point loss at Tulane last week, 27-26, but their L2 games at home resulted in losses against TCU, 24-16, and Texas A&M in blowout fashion, 48-3. We would like to suggest a play on the Over here as this one could very quickly and easily become a shootout, but the Cougars should have a substantial advantage with the depleted secondary woes of the Mustangs, who have put together a rag-tag core of defensive backs, and although they have done a decent job, there won't be enough guys to give enough breathers, and with the crazy hurry up offense of the Cougars, they should run the Mustangs off the field literally. Go with the HOUSTON COUGARS as an easy favorite here........
CONNECTICUT HUSKIES (+4.5) AND UNDER 44 UCONN HUSKIES @ SYRACUSE ORANGE
This one should be close all the way to the end, but we'll give the edge to a Huskies team that has absolutely dominated the Orange in recent seasons, posting a perfect 5-0 ML and ATS record in the L5 meetings as well as a 6-1 ML and ATS mark in the L7 battles. The Huskies have won 2 straight in Syracuse in that stretch, outscoring the Orange by a 59-20 score in those 2 meetings. They come into this one having dropped 2 of their L3 games and have won only 1 time in their L4 overall, but they have only had 1 of their L6 games decided by more than a TD and three of those games have been decided by a FG in the end. However, they are also on an 0-4 ATS streak currently and have posted a 1-2 ATS mark on the road, with their only ATS win coming on the road coming with them as the favorite. They have yet to cover as an underdog this season, going 0-2-1 ATS when getting the points, but Syracuse is also 0-3-1 ATS this season when playing as the favorite, so there is no real edge there. And the play of Syracuse at home this season, also leads us to believe that this will be a close one in the end, as they have had two of their games played in Syracuse this season decided by a mere 1 point, with their season-opening, 42-41 loss against Northwestern and their 14-13 win over PITT two weeks ago. They are an unimpressive 2-2 ML at home this season, with their only wins coming against Stony Brook in not so convincing fashion, 28-17, and that ugly win over Pittsburgh, while they have lost to USC and Northwestern, two teams that realistically should have beaten them easily and have a combined 2 losses so far in 2012. The Huskies have scored 17 points combined in their L2 games, but they should be able to put at least 17 or so on the board against this Orange defensive unit and the Orange have not scored more than 15 points in a single game since 4 weeks ago, as they have put up 15 at Rutgers last week, 14 against Pitt and 10 at Minnesota 3 weeks ago in a loss. Both of these teams have played to 3 straight Unders in their L3 games as well and the Under has gone 7-3 in Friday night games so far in 2012. The Underdog has also put together a 7-2-1 ATS record in the 10 Friday night games so far this season, with the road dog posting a 4-1-1 ATS record in the 6 games giving the points to the team away from home. Ironically though, the home favorite is actually also 5-1 ML in those same 6 games, so although it appears the dog covers, that doesn't equate to ML wins in any way. The favorites are also 8-2 ML this season so far on Friday night, despite the underdogs covering at a 7-2-1 ATS clip. There is also a trend in play tonight that has seen the underdog cover in 2 of its 3 situations so far this season, including once already with UCONN as the underdog. Take the UCONN HUSKIES and the UNDER in this tonight's meeting.......
*2 UNITS* NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS (+6) AND *2 UNITS* OVER 62 NEBRASKA @ NORTHWESTERN
Now if we continue to struggle, it will be legitimately be bad luck, because the trends are starting to kick in and are starting to show through. This match-up has a current trend on our system that is 11-3 ATS on the season and has gone 8-1 ATS in its L9 situations. We can't get away from those numbers, but it's hard because this Nebraska team always impresses us and we are less than impressed with the Wildcats near perfect resume so far, as although they handled the Gophers pretty convincingly last week and we have made a lot of money betting on the Gophers this season, doesn't necessarily mean we think the Gophers are all that strong of a team. If that came across coherently. But Northwestern isn't all that bad either and Nebraska is coming into their home, off a pretty tough emotional loss against Ohio State in their last game, a game they dominated for the first quarter and a half, before it turned into a rout by Ohio State. Northwestern has beaten some pretty borderline quality teams this season, with wins on the road against Syracuse and Minnesota and home wins over Vanderbilt and Boston College, while Nebraska has struggled in both of their road games so far in 2012, posting an 0-2 ML and ATS record in a 36-30 loss at UCLA and that convincing 63-38 loss at Ohio State 2 weeks ago. Nebraska does come off their bye week and they have won 3 straight on the road after bye weeks in the L3 seasons coming into this game, but still, that trend is 8-1 ATS in the L9 and it is dinging all over the Wildcats here. Go with NORTHWESTERN and the OVER on their home field.........
*2 UNITS* KANSAS STATE WILDCATS (+3)
*2 UNITS* OVER 72 KANSAS STATE @ WEST VIRGINIA
*2 UNITS* OREGON STATE BEAVERS (-9.5)
1ST HALF: ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE (-10.5)
ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE (-20)
UNDER 43 PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS @ IOWA HAWKEYES
BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES (+14)
TEXAS A&M AGGIES (+3.5)
MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS (+15.5)
WEEK #7: (5-8) -3.40 UNITS
It wasn't the greatest of weekends in the NCAA FB action, as we unloaded a FREEBIE DAY of plays on our FREEBIE FOLLOWERS and we may have been a little sunk by that. It wasn't all bad though, as we were hovering around the .500 mark for the day, before we dropped our L2 plays on the night. Thanks FREEBIE PLAYERS!! I kid of course, but sometimes you just have to wonder. But we will respond with ANOTHER BIG WEEKEND of NCAA FB next week!! Mark my words now!!
IOWA HAWKEYES (+7.5)
Today seems like a great day to be a dog, especially in the Big Ten, as this one too just seems too good to pass up here as this one should come down to the wire when all is said and done. Not only has Iowa picked up the outright win in 4 of the L6 meetings between the two schools, but they also have managed to dominate the spread for their backers, as they have covered the spread in 5 of the L6 meetings and have posted a 9-2 ATS record in the L11 battles with Michigan State. Expect another close one here today, as not only did the Hawkeyes pick up the win the last time they went to Michigan State, but they have also kept 3 of the L4 meetings there to within 3 points in the end and their only other loss in that span was by 10 back in 2003. Iowa is also coming in off some major momentum as they really seemed to find their offensive rhythm against Minnesota in their game immediately prior to their bye last week. In the L5 seasons, the Hawkeyes are only 1-2 ML when coming off a bye week, but they would be 2-1 against today's spread. Oh yeah, there is also a system trend in play here today for the Hawkeyes that is a near perfect 5-1 ATS on the season so far. Go with the IOWA HAWKEYES to COVER this slightly inflated spread......
WISCONSIN BADGERS (-1)
Sticking with the Big 10 (12) here today as this spread just seems way out of whack for this match-up. Not sure why everyone is sipping the Boilermakers kool-aid this season, but we laughed all the way to the cashier last week, as we took full advantage of Michigan as a mere -3 point favorite as our Top Play of the Week, in the 44-13 blowout for the Wolverines. And now with a Wisconsin offense that appeared to finally find themselves last week, we are supposed to pass up getting them for essentially a ML play here today?! Just can't do it. Especially when you consider the Badgers have completely owned Purdue in recent seasons, holding a perfect 6-0 ML record in the L6 meetings and an equally impressive 9-1-1 ATS record in the L10 battles between the two schools since 1998. Wisconsin has also posted a perfect 6-0 ATS record in those L6 meetings, including a 5-0 ATS record when listed as the favorite in that span, and hold a perfect 6-0 ATS record when playing as the favorite in this series since 1998. And none of the L4 meetings between these schools has even been close, as the Badgers have destroyed the Boilermakers by a combined score of 157-33 in those 4 games. Purdue has scored 30 of those 33 points in the L2 meetings, but they have still been outscored 96-30 since 2010 in the series. Wisconsin has also won 4 straight when playing on the Purdue campus as well. Take the WISCONSIN BADGERS in this meeting.......
SYRACUSE ORANGE (+7.5)
We'll definitely take the TD and a hook on this one, as these two teams have battled to two extremely tight games in the L2 seasons, with both schools pulling out 3-point road wins in those games, Syracuse 13-10 in 2010 and Rutgers 19-16 in OT last year. And as good or as bad as you may think Syracuse is this season, the Orange have managed to keep 3 of their 5 games decided by 7 points or less. They lost at home to Northwestern to kick off the season, 42-41, then they lost at Minnesota 17-10, and although they also have a 13-point loss against USC sandwiched in there, that is their only loss this season by more than 7 points, and I hate to say it, but Rutgers is not exactly USC. The Scarlet Knights have been dominant so far this season, posting a perfect 5-0 ML record to kick off 2012, and they have yet to have a game this season decided by less than 10 points. However, despite their 5 convincing blowouts, they still have only managed to put together a 3-2 ATS record and are actually 1-2 ATS when playing the role of the favorite so far. Syracuse has been awful against the spread themselves this season, posting a 1-3-1 ATS record through their first 5 games, although they are a perfect 1-0 ATS in their only game they were listed as the underdog so far this season and have managed to keep their only road loss to less than today's spread. Although we do give the edge to Rutgers on their home turf to stay undefeated, the Orange should definitely keep up with the Scarlet Knights and should be able to keep this one within the TD spread, if not somehow pull of the outright upset. But we'll take the points for sure. Take the SYRACUSE ORANGE to COVER here......
MIAMI HURRICANES (+7.5)
Miami would appear to be stumbling after last week's blowout loss at Notre Dame and it would appear that North Carolina is headed in the opposite direction as they are coming in off two straight impressive wins in which they beat Idaho, 66-0, and Virginia Tech, 48-34. But this Tar Heels team has struggled when playing on the road this season, as they are currently 0-2 ML and ATS in their 2 road games in 2012, their only mistakes in their otherwise perfect 4-2 ML and ATS record overall. Miami has won 2 straight meetings between the two schools and have managed to pick up the win in 3 of their L4 meetings in Florida, with their only loss their in that span coming by a mere 4 points to North Carolina back in 2008. In the 8 total meetings between these two schools since 2004, the underdog has also managed to post a near perfect 6-1-1 ATS record in that span, with Miami being the lone favorite to pick up a win in that span. Not too mention, this spread seems like a bit of an overreaction to that Notre Dame loss last week, which hopefully things turn out the same way as they did the week after Miami was blown out by Kansas State this season and they bounce back with a huge outright win as the underdog like they did the last time. Miami has actually been decent this season, holding a 4-2 ML and 3-3 ATS mark through their first 6 games this season, but they are a perfect 2-0 ML and 1-1 ATS when playing at home this season, picking up an extremely impressive win over NC ST in their last game there, the week before the ND debacle. And we all watched NC ST upset Florida State last week like it was nothing. Jump on the MIAMI HURRICANES at home in this one......
OREGON STATE BEAVERS (+6)
Sure Mannion is out for the Beavers today and they will have some serious issues regarding the QB department for this one, but this Oregon State team is for real. Not only have they managed to escape through their first 4 weeks of play with a perfect 4-0 ML and 3-1 ATS record, but they are a perfect 3-0 ATS when playing as an underdog this season. They have gone onto the campuses of the likes of UCLA and Arizona and walked away with two road wins in those games. They were also a +6-point underdog in their season opener at home against Wisconsin and they pulled out a 10-7 win in that game as well. Despite being 4-2 ML in 2012 themselves, BYU has been largely a disappointment this season, as they have posted an abysmal 1-3 ATS record in their L4 when listed as the favorite and narrowly escaped with a 6-3 win over an upstart Utah State team last week. Both teams have some serious issues at QB as junior Cody Vaz will step in for Oregon State and last time he had any substantial impact on a game was back in 20120 in which he was 6-for-17 for 48 yards. BYU is even more trouble under center, as they will be without QB Hill and will most likely be playing with a banged up and injured Nelson, which should put points at an absolute premium for this one. I don't know if either of these teams cracks the 10-point mark. This one could end up 9-7 in the end. Take the OREGON STATE BEAVERS in this snooze-fest.......
OVER 57 FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS @ BOISE STATE BRONCOS
This one should be a high-flying, high-scoring shootout as this Boise State team has absolutely owned Fresno State in recent years. Boise State has not only won 9 of the L10 meetings between the two schools but they have also covered the spread at a 9-1 clip in their L10 meetings as well. Add to that, they have outscored the Bulldogs 108-7 in the L2 meetings since 2010 and Boise State has managed to put at least 51 points on the board in each of the L4 meetings themselves. Originally we liked Fresno State in this one, but with those kind of numbers against them on the blue turf, we have to go with the Over here instead, as if nothing else, Fresno State should be able to put some points on the board with Boise in this one. Also, the L5 meetings on the blue turf have been high-scoring as well, as Boise has won each game by scores of 51-0, 61-10, 45-21, 33-16 and 67-21. Take the OVER and wait for the fireworks to explode........
MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS (+3)
This is the Gophers official homecoming game and to be honest, I can't quite understand how they are getting +3 points in this game. I wanted to get this one in prior to the hook being dropped off as we suspected it would (it was +3.5) but we'll still take it with a FG difference as the Gophers really should win this game outright on their home turf. Everyone is all over Northwestern's jock for this one it appears, and we have cashed in ourselves quite a bit with this Wildcats team as well, but that beat-down at the hands of Penn State last weekend, makes us suspect that this team is not quite as good as everyone thinks they are. Northwestern was thrashed by the Nittany Lions in PA last weekend, 39-28, in a game the Wildcats were getting the +3 points themselves. As we all know, I was on the game over here (mistakenly thought I included it for everyone) and was crushed by Northwestern being outscored 22-0 in the 4th quarter in the defeat. That should leave somewhat of a sour taste in their mouths, but they have to face off against a Gophers team that will have the huge momentum advantage of a packed and crazy house for homecoming, not too mention, they are coming off their bye week last week and are expected to have their usual starting QB Marquis Gray back for this one, although he is still technically listed as questionable. Minnesota has also started out 4-1 ML on the season, doing so with the services of a freshman QB under the helm for the last 3 games, which also includes beating Syracuse at home, 17-10, which is the same team that Northwestern also eeked by with a 42-41 win in OT in their season opener. The Gophers are also 3-0 ML and ATS when playing at home this season, as they have 3 convincing victories there over Syracuse, Western Michigan (28-23) and New Hampshire (44-7). Dating back to last season, the Gophers have now won 5 of their L6 on their home soil, and have posted a perfect 6-0 ATS record in that same span. And despite the Gophers 31-13 whooping in their last game at Iowa two weeks ago, the game wasn't really all that one-sided, as the Hawkeyes just took advantage of 3 TO by the freshman QB, Shortell, and a 21-0 burst in the 2nd quarter. They gave up 182 yards on the ground to Iowa in that one and that will be their challenge today as they face a Northwestern offense that is averaging about 230 YPG on the ground this season themselves, although the Gophers defense has stepped up to the run overall on the season, allowing a mere 139 YPG in that category so far. Minnesota has gotten some impressive showings from their defense overall as well, which should put pressure on the passing game and mainly neutralize the Wildcats running game overall. Not only do the Gophers hold opponents to less than 190 YPG passing on the season, but they also force on average 1.5 INT per game and are good for at least 2.5 sacks as well. If they can put that kind of pressure on Siemian at QB for the Wildcats, they will have an edge, as he was held to only 135 yards passing last week against Penn State, although he was error free with 1 TD and 0 INT. Northwestern has been borderline dominant all season long as well, posting a 5-1 ML and ATS record to kick off their 2012 season, although they have played 2 games on the road and are 1-1 ATS and ML, with both games listing them as the underdog. They have pretty much owned this match-up between Big 10 rivals in recent seasons, as the Wildcats own a 4-1 ML record in the L5 meetings since 2007. Minnesota however has been the better team to back on the spread in that span and overall in this series, as the Gophers have covered in 3 straight meetings, and have posted a 6-1 ATS record in the L7 meetings between the two schools. The Underdog has also managed to cover in each of the L5 battles between them, with the Gophers also posting a perfect 5-0 ATS record in the L5 meetings between the two schools with Minnesota as the listed underdog. Minnesota has lost on the ML in 3 of the L5 battles on their home turf, but all 5 of those match-ups have been extremely close, with all but one of them decided by a TD or less, and their last meeting there in 2010 was a 29-28 victory for Northwestern, with the Gophers covering as the +4.5 point favorites. We have cashed quite a bit on both of these teams this year so far, but we have to give the edge to Minnesota on their home field during Homecoming weekend. And the best part is, they don't even have to win. Just keep it close. Roll with the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS to COVER in today's Big 10 (12) battle........
OVER 76.5 WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS @ TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS
Hard to imagine there is going to be any defense played in this match-up as both of these squads come in averaging over 500 yards of total offense per game. Not too mention, West Virginia has scored 42 points or more in 4 of their 5 games this season and have topped the 60 mark twice in a game already. On the other side of the ball, Tech has scored at least 44 points in 3 of their 5 games as well. Like I said, not sure there will be any defense at all in this one. Take the OVER in this shootout......
UTAH STATE AGGIES (+3)
This one breaks my heart to choose as both of these schools have been absolutely money for us all this season, but this Utah State team should have enough to keep this one close throughout, if not win it outright I must say. Utah State has won 3 straight match-ups against SJ ST, but these two schools have played to some extremely tight battles, as each of the last 2 meetings were decided by 4 points or less and 5 of the L9 meetings between the two schools have also been decided by 4 or less, with 4 of them decided by less than today's suggested spread. Go with UTAH STATE on the road here.......
PITTSBURGH PANTHERS (+2.5)
The Panthers have appeared to find their groove once again and should be able to cover the small spread as a home dog for today's battle with Louisville. For starters, Pitt has owned this series in recent years, as they hold a perfect 4-0 ML in the L4 match-ups and an even more impressive 5-0 ATS record in the L5 meetings between the two schools. In their meeting last season, Pittsburgh pulled off the mighty upset on the campus of Louisville, winning 21-14 as +3-point underdogs in that game, and the Panthers are a perfect 2-0 ATS in the L5 meetings when they are listed as the underdog. They have also completely dominated the Cardinals when playing in their own home stadium, as they have outscored Louisville 61-10 in their L2 meetings there. Louisville has jumped out to a perfect 5-0 ML record in 2012, but they haven't been all that money ATS as they have provided their backers with only 1 casher over their L4 games. They have dropped 3-of-4 against the spread overall, and haven't beaten any of their L3 opponents by more than 7 points, and are coming in off a 4-point win at Southern Mississippi two weeks ago, when they were listed as the -10.5 favorites. And despite being 2-0 ML on the road so far this season, they have dropped both of those games ATS. Louisville has been horrible off of their bye in recent seasons, as over their L4 games after a bye of 10 days or more, they have won only one of those games (against Arkansas State) and have lost the other 3 against the likes of Marshall, Kentucky and Rutgers. Yes this Louisville team has had a huge start to their season so far, but they don't match up all that well against the Panthers, as they average just under 400 YPG in total offense, while the Panthers beat then in that category with a 460 YPG average in that same category. Pittsburgh should have their rushing game fully healthy for today's early morning meeting too, which should give the Panthers a heavy advantage, as they rush for 305 YPG and are going against a Cardinals defense that allows more than 200 YPG on the season so far themselves. After being embarrassed in their first two games this season against Youngstown State at home and then at Cincinnati, the Panthers have responded well, winning 2 of their 3 games since, with their only loss coming in 14-13 fashion at Syracuse last week. Since that season-opening loss against Youngstown State, Pittsburgh has responded with 2 wins at home and have outscored Virginia Tech and Gardner Webb by a combined score of 90-27. Go with the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS in today's extra-early morning affair.......
VANDERBILT COMMODORES (+9.5)
CENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS (-16.5)
OVER 60.5 NAVY MIDSHIPMAN @ CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS
These two teams met up last year and the Navy escaped with an exciting 38-37 win, that came down to Central Michigan scoring what could have been the game-tying TD with only 4 seconds left, only to miss on the 2-point conversion and lose by 1. They will be looking for revenge in this one, but this Navy team holds a 2-0 ML record against the Chippewas in their brief history against each other and the Midshipmen should be coming into this one with tons of momentum themselves, off a come-from-behind, 28-21, overtime win against Air Force last week. They trailed 21-14 in that one before bringing in a rookie QB who sparked the Midshipman to the win. And suddenly things could be looking up for this Navy offense that was defeated in the most ugly of fashion against San Jose State the week before, 12-0. That San Jose State game is one of only 3 losses for the Midshipman this season, and all have come against top quality opponents, with their other two losses coming at Penn State and against Notre Dame in Ireland for the season opener. They are currently 1-0 ATS when listed as the favorite this season, picking up a massive 41-3 win over VMI as the -37 point favorites and out-gaining the Keydets by over 310 yards on the ground. Navy should be able to get there running game going in this one tonight as well, as the Chippewas have been allowing over 230 YPG on the ground so far this season, while the Midshipmen are rushing for over 230 YPG themselves. That should put the pressure on the Chippewas to keep up with Navy via the passing game, and although they should have some success in the air against this Midshipmen defense, they should be able to force a key turnover or two that should keep this one within their reach. Central Michigan comes into this one with their defense scuffling, as they have allowed over 50 PPG in each of their L2 outings, and have allowed their opponents to score at least 31 points in each of their L4 overall. They have only had one game so far this season that hasn't equaled at least 65 points in total, and that was against a much tougher Michigan State team that dominated them 41-7 overall. Central Michigan may have a shot to score 40+ points themselves here tonight. Both teams should come close. Take the OVER in tonight's battle........
WEEK #6: (12-7) +5.25 UNITS
It was ANOTHER HUGE weekend of NCAA FB action as we kicked it all off with a perfect 2-0 night for +3 UNITS in the FRIDAY night games and then we proceeded to roll through Saturday once again!! After last weekend's 12-5 ATS weekend of NCAA FB action, we picked up ANOTHER +5 UNITS in PROFITS for this weekend again and we are back in full swing for the college football season!! Utah State was a big winner for +2 UNITS as our PLAY OF THE NCAA FB season so far and then we picked up winners all across the board. In fact, it would have been an unbelievable weekend had we not dropped 4 plays in two games in the early morning Saturday action, but we made up for that by going 7-1 ATS for the rest of the day overall to close out the weekend. And once again, we are loving our NCAA FB action around here once again.......
*2 UNITS* UTAH STATE AGGIES (+6.5)
How can anyone not go with Utah State here tonight. I know BYU is always tough to beat at home, but Utah State has become quite the powerhouse team this season. They have beaten Utah at home in OT, 27-20, while BYU lost at Utah, 24-21, and they then were barely upended by a tougher than given credit for Wisconsin team in Madison, 16-14, in a game they controlled all the way through for the most part and probably should have won. BYU has struggled against the quality opponents so far this season, losing to both Utah and Boise State by a combined 4 points and should face the same kind of tough match-up against the Utah State team. Utah State is currently a perfect 4-0-1 ATS in 2012 and again their only loss came against the Badgers by 2 in Wisconsin, three weeks ago. They are 2-0 ATS when listed as the underdog and are currently 1-0-1 ATS when playing on the road. BYU on the other hand is 3-2 ATS in 2012 already, although they are only 2-2 ATS when listed as the favorite so far this season. One major setback to BYU could be the loss of Riley Nelson, their starting QB, due to a back injury, but he has been upgraded from doubtful to questionable, so it is possible he may be out there. If he isn't, that would be a huge plus for Utah State, which is currently ranked 12th in the nation in overall defense. The Aggies are allowing opponents a total of just over 280 YPG in all offense and come into this one ranked 15th against the pass and 24th against the rush. Take away one of the very few playmakers that BYU has with an injury to Nelson and this one could be won outright by Utah State. Even if Nelson plays, he is obviously banged up and he has showed some struggles this season already, with only 5 TD against 5 INT on the 2012 season overall. This one should be tight all the way through and the Aggies should have enough to keep this one close down to the end. The Cougars have posted a 9-1 ML record in the L10 meetings between these two schools, but Utah State has been the bank for their backers, as the Aggies have managed to cover the spread in each of the L4 match-ups and have posted a 7-2-1 ATS record in the L10 meetings against their fellow brethren from the state of Utah. Go with UTAH STATE to COVER as the underdog of less than a TD here.......
PITTSBURGH PANTHERS (+2)
Have to love the Panthers in this spot as they are playing some rejuvenated football over their last couple of games and they come into this one having absolutely owned the Syracuse Orange over the last few years. For starters, Pitt is currently on a 7-game winning streak against the Orange and have posted a 9-1 ML record in their L10 meetings between the two Big East schools. The Panthers have also managed to cover the spread in 3 straight meetings and have posted an 8-2 ATS record in the L10 games against Syracuse, while also putting together a 4-1 ML and 3-2 ATS record in their L5 games played in New York. Although this spread has moved as much as 5 points for the Orange, the Panthers came into this season with big plans and a slow start was probably helped by the recovery from their RB Graham from his major injury last season. The Panthers have found their way lately and should have enough to get back on track. Go with the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS in tonight's Big East showdown......
OKLAHOMA SOONERS (-4)
OVER 72.5 GEORGIA TECH @ CLEMSON
WISCONSIN BADGERS (-14.5)
UNDER 58 ARKANSAS STATE @ FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL AND ARKANSAS STATE MONEY LINE (-120)
These schools have a pretty lengthy history of playing against each other and when they do, they usually tend to keep the scoring below today's total, which would be customary for a Thursday night NCAA FB affair. I have to admit, the hefty number placed on this total here does make this play a tad fishy, but overall, 58 should be just too high of a number for these two offenses to reach here tonight and this one should end up well under the total in the end. For starters, they have faced off every school year since 2006 and they have never scored more than 55 points combined in any game in that span. The home team has won each of the L5 meetings, while they have managed to hold the visiting team to 24 points or less in every single game. In fact, these two squads have played to the Under in 4 straight meetings and have posted a 5-1 clip for the Under in the L6 meetings overall. They have faced each other 3 times at FIU in that span, and the total scores for each of those 3 games has come in at 55, 43 and 37 points. Sure Arkansas State put points on the board against the likes of Alcorn State, who they beat 56-0, and Memphis, they won 33-28, but both of those games were at home and they come into tonight's showdown having scored 13 points in 2 of their L3 overall. Florida International hasn't necessarily been an offensive powerhouse themselves either, as they have failed to score more than 21 points in any of their L3 games and they have only gone for more than 26 points in 1 of their 5 games overall this season. Both of these teams are turnover prone, with both fumbling the ball at least once a game on average and we expect an INT or two from both sides as well in this ugly battle. This game should also turn into a battle of the rushing attacks, as Arkansas State heads into this game with the nation's 14th best running game, averaging over 240 YPG on the ground so far, but they also happen to have the nation's 113 ranked rushing defense, allowing nearly 225 YPG on the ground this season. They also have allowed a 12th best 40% FG success rate for their opponents, which should help shave off some extra points in this one tonight, if we can get a miss/block or two. That should be likely too, as FIU currently has the 118th best FG unit, making only 40% of their FG attempts on the season. The FIU starting QB, Medlock, will be out of this one with a broken foot which should have a serious impact on the Golden Panther's offense. That offense might really be in trouble if they go without the services of RB Rhodes and Mallary (both currently questionable and Mallary didn't play last week) as that would result in the loss of 10 TD from the offense and a huge chunk of their attack. Take the RED WOLVES and the UNDER in tonight's battle being seen on ESPN Ocho.........
EAST CAROLINA PIRATES (+11.5)
We have jumped on East Carolina several times over the last few seasons and this seems like another good spot to take advantage of a pretty hefty line given out by the books. The Pirates have played pretty well against UCF in recent years, posting a 5-1 ML record in the L6 meetings between the two schools and compiling an 8-2 ML record in the L10 meetings between them since 1992. However, they have played 7 times since 2005 and the underdog has also picked up the ATS win at a 5-2 clip in those games. East Carolina has also won 2 of the L3 meetings held on the UCF campus and they did emerge victorious in last season's shootout, 38-31, at home. This is a completely different East Carolina squad though, but returning WR Wiggins did snag 6 catches for 123 yards and 2 TD against UCF and we expect him to make an impact at some point in this game. The junior has had an extremely disappointing start to the 2012 season, so hopefully the memory of last season's meeting will shine through tonight. They will definitely need much better production from both their QB, Carden, who comes into this game with only 3 TD and 4 INT, although he did produce career highs in passing yards and completion percentage last week against UTEP when he completed 70% of his passes for 258 yards in the East Carolina 28-18 win. The downside to that outing though was the fact he also was picked off for a career-worst 3 times, while only tossing for a single TD. He has been pretty unspectacular in his 3 road outings this season, as although he has never passed for more than 171 yards in a single game, he does have 2 TD and only 1 INT and has played against some pretty tough defenses on their home turf, in both North Carolina and South Carolina. As long as he doesn't turn the ball over tonight, we should be okay on the spread, although neither of those previously mentioned games resulted in an ATS win. East Carolina finally got a boost from its rushing game in their win over UTEP last Saturday, as their rushing attack went for over 200 yards and 3 TD against the Miners defense, with their junior RB Cooper notching their first 100-yard game for a rusher this season as well. UCF has had a pretty brutal schedule to start the season, with games against the likes of Ohio State and Missouri, but they have produced some pretty decent stats, holding those running games to only 145 YPG on the season overall. The Pirates have been playing well within the conference recently, holding a 4-1 ATS record in their L5 conference games overall and the underdog is also 4-1 ATS in the L5 meetings as well. Go with EAST CAROLINA to COVER in tonight's conference battle.....
UTAH UTES (+14.5) AND UNDER 48 SOUTHERN CAL TROJANS @ UTAH UTES
Okay, this spread I just can't figure out. Utah is going to have a freshman QB under center for this one, but so far the youngster has pretty much showed he is up to the challenge. USC was everybody's favorite to win the national championship, but those hopes are all but crushed now, and as such these student athletes have shown a lack of focus the last few weeks, squeaking by California last week, 27-9, a week after being rocked at Stanford in the 21-14 loss there. USC is currently 1-3 ATS in their 4 games this season, barely beating the -16.5 spread last week for the win and it just seems like a 2 TD difference may be just a tad too high and when you can get the hook like we can in our favor, we'll take our chances. Utah has played pretty much everyone tough this season, the blowout loss at Arizona State last week notwithstanding, as they lost by 7 at Utah State in OT in Week 3 and followed that up by beating an always formidable foe in BYU the next week, 24-21, as the +3 home underdogs. I don't expect all that much from Hayes the freshman QB,K but we do expect to hear the name John White, early and often, and he should do enough to shoulder the load against the Trojans defense. The senior has struggled to get going this season, with only a 3.6 YPC average over in 65 attempts with 1 TD, but this could be the game that gets him going this season, and gets him on track to the 1500+ yards and 17 TD performance he put together last season. These two teams have played 3 over the L20 years and although USC holds a 2-1 ML edge in the 3 meetings, none of those games has been decided by more than 9 points. That includes last season's 23-14 USC win over the Utes on their home campus, as even though Barkley threw for 258 yards and a TD and Tyler rushed for 113 yards and a TD as well, the Utes still managed to stay within today's spread. White rushed for 56 yards and a TD on 20 carries for the Utes in that game, while now departed injured senior QB, Jordan Wynn managed the game nicely, throwing for 238 yards and 1 TD without turning the ball over. The Utes had a +2 turnover margin in that game and if we can have the same type of performance here tonight, we should be sitting in good position to pick up the casher. At home this season the Utes have posted a 2-0 ML and ATS record with a +2 TO margin and they have a +7 TO differential in their L5 games at home dating back to last season. USC does turn the ball over themselves, as they have averaged at least 1 TO in every game this season and come into today's battle on a -2 TO differential run through their L2 games. Turnovers are always crucial to games, but if the Utes can force a few turnovers, we should be looking good. On their home field, I like our odds for that. Jump on the UTAH UTES as the nice sized home underdogs and also go with the UNDER here..........
MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (-3)
CONNECTICUT HUSKIES (+7) AND OVER 39.5 UCONN @ RUTGERS
We have cashed in on both of these teams frequently over the last few seasons and today just seems like a good day to take the dog in this match-up, especially when they are going to make Rutgers lay a TD on their home turf. UCONN picked up a convincing 40-22 win last season in this series between the two schools, but Rutgers had won the 3 games prior to that. Yes, Rutgers has won 3 of 4 against the Huskies, but each of those wins was decided by 4 points or less, and Rutgers outscoring the Huskies by a mere 8 points total in all 3 of those games combined and UCONN holds a 7-2-1 ATS record in the L10 head-to-head match-ups between the schools. The Scarlet Knights have also posted a 5-2 ML record in the L7 games against the Huskies, but again, 4 of those 5 wins were decided by 4 points or less, with 3 of them decided by a FG or less. Rutgers does also hold a 3-2 ML record in the L5 meetings on their own campus, but 3 of those 5 games and 2 of their wins there, were decided by 3 points or less as well. In the end, this one should be close. Especially when you consider this UCONN team has been playing everybody close this season also, as they enter today's early morning showdown with a 3-2 ML and 2-2-1 ATS record through their first 5 games of 2012, although they have yet to lose by more than 6 points. They are also 1-1 ML and ATS in their 2 road games this season, with both of those games also being decided by 6 points or less. Rutgers has appeared to reach a new echelon in their football program as they are having a banner season so far, posting a perfect 4-0 ML and 2-2 ATS through their first 4 games this season. However, they have beaten up on the likes of cupcake programs as Howard (26-0) and Tulane (24-12) and easily handled a struggling Arkansas team before their bye week, 35-26, in a game they were playing as the +8.5 point underdogs. They are currently 2-0 ATS as the underdog this season, while holding an equally unimpressive 0-2 ATS when playing as the favorite so far in 2012. The Huskies are backed by a top notch defense themselves this season, as they enter this game ranked 6th overall in the nation in total yards allowed, the 13th ranked defense in passing yardage allowed and the 7th ranked defense in rushing yardage allowed. The Scarlet Knights boast the nation's number 2 ranked defense in rushing yards allowed. Both these teams should be forced to the air often, which should help the over play here, as under 40 just seems like a tad too low. I don't know why they keep giving out such tiny over/under totals on these UCONN games, but when they do, we will continue to cash in. These two schools have managed to score at least 51 points in each of their L3 meetings against each other and have totaled over 50 in 7 of the L9 meetings between them. Rutgers has gone for at least 23 points themselves in every game so far in 2012 and they have managed to score at least 20 points in all of their L11 games dating back to last season. UCONN has scored an even 24 points in each of their L3 games and has scored at least that many in 4 of their 5 games already this season. Roll with UCONN and the OVER in this early morning battle.......
VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES (+5.5) AND UNDER 50 VIRGINIA TECH @ NORTH CAROLINA
After the Hokies choked against Pittsburgh for us a few weeks ago, I have a little cringe when I make this play, but we find ourselves rolling with Logan Thomas and the Hokies one more time here on the Saturday. For starters, this just seems like the perfect game for Va Tech to come out and make a statement against a North Carolina squad that has seen their share of troubles this season themselves. And this would be the perfect spot, as the Hokies have owned the Tar Heels in recent seasons and with getting nearly 2 FG in points here today, we'll take a shot with the equally talented team. Hopefully the Hokies play up to their talent today. Virginia Tech has won two straight meetings against North Carolina and has posted an 8-1 ML in their L9 meetings and a 4-3 ATS record over their L7. That includes a perfect 4-0 ML record in the L4 meetings played in Chapel Hill, with two of those wins for the Hokies being blowouts, while the other two were decided by a FG. In fact, in the one win North Carolina has against the Hokies since 1998, they won 20-17, which we will take for a casher here today if it goes down like that again. And Va Tech should be hungry for this one as they come in with a pretty bitter taste in their mouth off a 27-24 OT defeat at Cincinnati last week, although they have put together a dismal 1-4 ATS record so far in 2012, with all games having them as the listed favorite. When they have squared off, they have failed to score more than a combined 45 points in any of their last 8 meetings since the 2005 season and have only scored more than 45 points (51) combined in 1 of their L10 meetings since 1998. We expect a few turnovers to be key to this game and ultimately affect the outcome, especially if they are committed in the red zone, which is highly likely. The Under is a perfect 5-0 in the L5 conference games that Virginia Tech has played in, while the Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the L5 in this match-up. The road team is also a perfect 6-0 ATS in the L6 meetings between the two schools. Jump on VIRGINIA TECH as the decent dog and the UNDER in this defensive battle.......
WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS (+7.5)
NEBRASKA HUSKERS (+3)
CAL GOLDEN BEARS (+3)
OVER 70 UNLV REBELS @ LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS
WEEK #5: (12-5) +6.75 UNITS
What can we say about the start to this NCAA FB season?! It has been a rough and tough season of bad beats so far!! This 2012 season has started out in major disappointing fashion as we were looking to beat last year's MONSTER SEASON of the college ball. Unfortunately, the month of September profits in the MLB and NFL were wiped out by the NCAA FB action, as we just haven't really gotten anything going so far this season. Not too worry though, we will rebound!! And if you have been sitting on the sidelines all season long, you have missed all of the rough patches!! This is still going to be a HUGE SEASON of NCAA FB!! Mark my words!! We are kicking it into gear for the final 10 weeks!! If you aren't on board, you will seriously miss out!!
OREGON STATE BEAVERS (+3)
WISCONSIN BADGERS (+12)
SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS (-2.5)
We have cashed in a little bit on San Jose State this season and I expect us to continue to today. The Spartans beat Navy, 27-24, in their lone meeting in San Jose last season and this San Jose State team has gotten much improved this season. The Spartans are a perfect 4-0 ATS to begin their season and have posted a near perfect 3-1 ML record, with their only loss coming at Stanford in the season opener, 20-17. Dating back to last season, this team has now put together an equally perfect 7-0 ATS record over their L7 games, which includes a perfect 4-0 ATS record on the road in that span, against the likes of Utah State, Stanford, Fresno State and San Diego State. And lest us not forget to mention the perfect 8-0 ATS record San Jose State has compiled in their L8 non-conference games. On the other side of the ball, Navy has failed to cover in any of their L5 games (0-5 ATS) against a team with a winning record at home. Go with SAN JOSE STATE to WIN as the road favorite here today.....
CINCINNATI BEARCATS (+6.5)
If this one were being played at Virginia Tech, we might be rolling differently here, but just can't see this Bearcats team losing by even a TD against this Hokie squad. VA Tech has been impressive against the Bearcats in recent seasons, as they have posted a 5-1 ML record in the L6 meetings between these two schools. But this has not been your typical Virginia Tech team this season and they have struggled in their 2 games against legitimate opponents, as they were blown out by 18 at Pittsburgh 2 weeks ago, and barely hung on to beat Georgia Tech in the season opener, winning 20-17 in OT. Cincinnati will be coming off their bye week for this one, and they have jumped out to a perfect 2-0 ML and 1-0 ATS record to kick off their 2012 campaign, including a blowout win against that same Pittsburgh team, 34-10. Munchie will be under center for the Bearcats and that has been huge for this Cincinnati team, as since losing his very first start at Rutgers, this Bearcats team has rolled off 5 straight wins with him as the starting QB and have also posted a 4-0 ATS record in that same span. In fact, in 6 out of the L7 games he has played in, Cincinnati has either lost by 3 points or won the game outright. He will lead this dominant Bearcats rushing offense that is averaging almost 260 yards in their first 2 games, against a Virginia Tech team that was destroyed by the run at Pittsburgh (Panthers had 254 rushing yards against them) and are allowing an average of nearly 185 YPG on the ground against them this season. We shall see if the Cincinnati defense is up to the task as well, as they come into this one having allowed 17 total points against them through 2 games and they have created on average over 2 turnovers per game. Dating back to last season, Virginia Tech also comes into this one 0-4 ATS in their L4 games when winning by 20 points or more in their previous game. Go with the CINCINNATI BEARCATS as the underdog in today's meeting.........
COLORADO BUFFALOES (+20)
The Buffaloes actually showed some life last week, coming back from 17-point deficit over the final 8 minutes of the game, to beat the Washington State Cougars, 35-34, in the most thrilling of fashion, as they capped off the comeback with a TD run with 11 seconds left in the ballgame. That upset could be a huge motivation for Colorado to put together another big game, as they entered that game in Washington also as some monster underdogs, as they were getting +18.5 points for that one. The Buffaloes were propelled by a huge game from their junior QB, Jordan Webb, as he completed a season-high 69% of his pass attempts and threw for another season-high 345 yards, although that came against the country's 122-ranked passing defense. Webb hasn't been all that bad since coming in as a transfer from Kansas, and does have 6 TD against 3 INT, and has thrown for an even 777 yards for the 2012 season overall, and he has led the Colorado passing offense to a mediocre ranking of 67th in the country in the passing game. He may have a chance to duplicate that success again today, as he faces off against a UCLA secondary that is currently ranked 93rd in the nation in passing defense and they will be missing junior linebacker, Jordan Zumwalt, for this one, which should have at least a small effect as he is currently is 4th on the team in total tackles. They will still have Sheldon Price though, and he is someone that Webb has to watch out for, as the cornerback is currently tied for #1 in the nation in INT as he has picked off 4 passes by opposing QB this season already. In fact, turnovers could be the key to this game in the end, as both of these offenses have been absolutely dreadful protecting the ball this season, especially Colorado, who has 9 turnovers already this season, 3 coming by INT. But UCLA is equally bad, as they come into this game ranked 87th in the nation in offensive turnovers, while Colorado is only slightly worse, coming in at 94th in NCAA FB overall. The O-line of the Buffaloes will have to step up today and protect Webb, something they haven't done much this season, allowing the QB to be sacked 18 times already this season, worst in the nation. That might be a huge problem for the Buffaloes, as the D-line for the Bruins has been producing sacks like crazy this season, and come into this game ranked 13th in the country. Two names can held take the load off Webb here today, Jones and Powell, did rush for 171 yards on only 20 carries against Washington State, although this Colorado rushing attack holds a disappointing 91 ranking overall, coming in with over 125+ YPG on the ground. UCLA has struggled in that capacity defensively this season, as they are currently ranked 85th in the nation against the run, and are allowing over 170+ YPG rushing on the season. Colorado has been awful at home so far this season, dropping both games as favorites while losing against Colorado State, 22-17, as -6 point favorites, and then getting stunned as -21 point favorites against Sacramento State in a 30-28 loss. They were also embarrassed by the Bruins last year in Westwood, as they were blown off the field in a 45-6 shellacking. They do have a little history on their side though, as they are a perfect 7-0 ML in their L7 follow-up conference games when starting out the conference schedule 1-0 as they did last week. I don't know if I really believe that Colorado can pull out the +700 ML win here today, but momentum is key here, as the Bruins come in having lost a little luster with their 27-20 loss against Oregon State last week, while Colorado will be riding high after that come-from-behind win last week. Colorado will most likely keep this one close all game and surprise a lot of people out there with their performance here today. I expect Webb to have a nice day here today and for the Bruins freshman QB, Hundley, to struggle for really the first time in his career as he comes in having passed for over 300 yards in each of the L3 games with 7 TD and 2 INT in that span. Colorado is 2-1 ML and 1-2 ATS in their 3 career meetings, winning their last meeting at home, 16-14, although that was way back in 2003. The underdog is also 2-1 ATS, with UCLA covering both of those times as the underdog. UCLA has also struggled mightily in recent seasons during conference play (6-15 ATS in their L21 Pac-12 games) and when playing on the road, as they have also gone 3-10 ATS in their L13 games not on their own campus. Go with the COLORADO BUFFALOES to pick up the COVER as the huge home underdogs here today......
INDIANA HOOSIERS (+11)
We don't get the opportunity to make a play on Indiana, but today seems like as good of a time as any, as they have actually played some very tight games against their Big Ten brothers in recent seasons. These two conference foes have matched up against each other 10 times over the L10 seasons, and although Northwestern has owned the ML battle, going 8-2 ML in their L10 meetings, but the teams have been even ATS, as they have gone 5-5 ATS in that same span. The underdog has come up huge in recent meetings, taking 6 of the L7 match-ups against the spread, and the underdog has also posted a 7-2 ATS record in the L9 meetings since 2002. And despite the beat-down Northwestern issued the Hoosiers last season, 59-38, the L7 meetings between the two schools before that, were decided by a TD or less. In fact, they have been even closer in recent season, as 3 of the L4 meetings have been decided by 3 points or less, and the last time we saw a double-digit favorite in this battle, Northwestern had to eek out a win in OT, 31-24, while also playing on their home field. Actually that is the biggest point differential between the teams in the L4 meetings held at Northwestern, with the last meeting there decided by only 1 point, and the other 2 games there in that span decided by a total of 7 points combined. Indiana has had a good start to their season, posting a 2-1 ML and 1-2 ATS record through their first 3 games, although they are coming in off a disappointing 41-39 loss against Ball State at home last week. And good news for Indiana is they should have their starting QB under center for today's game, as Coffman is expected to play despite suffering a concussion against Ball State, and this sophomore JC-transfer has been huge so far this season, completing over 70% of his passes and tossing 3 TD against 0 INT through 2 games in 2012. He may not complete 70% of his passes here today, but he does face off against a Northwestern defense that has not been very productive in the turnover margin this season, as they currently average less than half of an interception per game this season, and are allowing opposing QB to throw for nearly 300 YPG in the air against their secondary. Northwestern will have to find a way to stop this fairly explosive Indiana offense, as although it is largely against much weaker opposition, the Hoosiers come into this game ranked 12th in the nation in overall offense, with a #14 ranking in their passing game at 322 YPG and a #31 ranking in the rushing department with over 213 YPG overall this season. This will definitely be their first true test and Northwestern will most likely have to pick a poison to try to stop today in order to assure a ML win. They will most likely look to stop the rushing game, as they are allowing just over 75 YPG on the ground so far this season (#13), and have allowed only one guy to go over 50 yards against them at home this season (Jordy Rodgers had 51 rushing yards for Vanderbilt) and have only allowed 1 rushing TD on their home grass overall. Northwestern has been awful in conference play at home lately though, as they were a perfect 0-4 ATS and 1-3 ML in Big Ten play last season on campus, and have gone 1-7 ATS and 2-6 ML in that same situation over the L2 seasons. Take the INDIANA HOOSIERS on the road in Northwestern in this one.......
MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS (+6.5)
Okay, so far we have been crushing Minnesota games this season. I believe we are a perfect 5-0 ATS so far in 2012 when playing on a Gophers game, including that incredible OT Over at UNLV on opening night, in what seems like ages ago now. But we will continue to roll with the Gophers today as they have fared well against Iowa in recent seasons, not too mention have been playing outstanding in 2012 so far overall. For starters, the Gophers have picked up the win against Iowa in each of their L2 meetings, with last season's meeting coming down to a thrilling, 22-21, win for the Gophers. The Gophers have won each of those L2 meetings by a combined 4 points, and we also expect this one to come down to a FG or so in the end here today as well. Iowa has gone 7-3 ML in their L10 match-ups, but Minnesota actually holds a 5-1 ATS record in the L6 seasons of their rivalry. The Gophers have been playing great so far this season too, jumping out to a perfect 4-0 ML and 3-1 ATS start to 2012, and dating back to last season, this Minnesota squad is actually on a dominating 8-1 ATS streak in their L9 games, which started with that 22-21 win over Iowa as +14.5 underdogs. The Hawkeyes are not necessarily a team you want to back this season either, as despite being 2-2 ML, they have had a dismal 1-3 ATS start to 2012, with 3 of their 4 games ultimately decided by 3 points or less, two of them decided by a mere 1 point, including last week's win over Central Michigan. They are 1-2 ML and ATS on their home turf this season, with their only win coming against Northern Iowa and with both losses decided by 3 points or less. Not quite sure where they come up with a TD difference in this one, but we'll take it. Roll with the GOLDEN GOPHERS to pick up the COVER here........
WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS MONEY LINE (-130)
Okay, so this one seems like it is another one of those too good to be true lines. Wake Forest has been playing pretty tough at home this season, owns Duke in their history against each other, and Duke is currently sporting a jam-packed injury list - and we're not supposed to jump on them at -2? Wake has dominated Duke in their head-to-head match-ups recently, posting a perfect 12-0 ML record against the Blue Devils since 2000, although last season's meeting at Duke did come down to a 24-23 final score. Wake is also 6-0 ML in their L6 meetings on their home turf, although each of their L4 meetings there have been decided by less than a TD, with 4 of those games ultimately decided by a FG or less. Duke has looked impressive this season, posting a 3-1 ML and ATS record to kick off 2012, although their only loss came in their lone road game, in a blowout at Stanford, 50-13. That Stanford game was pretty much the only legitimate competition the Blue Devils have faced this season, as their 3 wins have come against the likes of Memphis, NC Central and Florida International, with their L2 games having them listed as -21.5 and -34.5 point favorites, respectively. Wake on the other hand comes into this one having an up-and-down season for the most part, despite also holding a 3-1 ML record with a 2-2 mark ATS. They scored 48 points and pulled out a win against Army last week and beat North Carolina at home in Week 2 in thrilling fashion, 28-27, but they also have a 52-0 blowout loss at Florida and a 20-17 home win against lowly Liberty attached to their resume. Wake doesn't necessarily force a lot of turnovers, but they should get at least one key INT against a Blue Devils offense that is averaging 1.5 INT per game so far this season. Wake is a perfect 3-0 ML at home to kick off 2012, and they should be able to escape with another win here today. Take WAKE FOREST on the MONEY LINE to move to 4-0 at home in 2012 and 13-0 in the L13 meetings against Duke......
RICE OWLS (+8)
Houston is definitely in rebuild mode in 2012. I will take the Owls in this one, especially against a Houston team that comes into this game having posted a dismal 0-3 ML and ATS record this season, with losses at home to Texas State and Louisiana Tech. On the other hand, Rice is coming into this one off a heart-breaking loss at Marshall, 54-51, and have fared equally as bad against some of the same foes as Houston, as they have lost by 19 at Louisiana Tech and by 25 at home against UCLA to kick off the season. But Rice has always played well at home in this series, as each of the L4 games on their campus between the two teams, has resulted in either a win by the Owls or a loss by 3 points. In fact, Rice is 3-1 ML and 4-0 ATS in the L4 meetings between these two teams at home. The home team has also managed to go 4-0 ATS in their L4 meetings and 8-1 ATS in the L9 meetings between the two schools, with Rice coming through as the lone road cover as well in that span. Hoot the RICE OWLS to victory on the spread in this one........
OVER 57 TOLEDO ROCKETS @ WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS
HAWAII RAINBOWS (+25) AND OVER 49 HAWAII RAINBOWS @ BYU COUGARS
OVER 48.5 STANFORD CARDINAL @ WASHINGTON HUSKIES AND 1ST HALF: OVER 24
Originally I was thinking of going with Washington as well in this battle, but with the recent history between these two teams, the Cardinal have owned Washington, especially over the L3 years as they have outscored Washington, 140-35, in those 3 wins for the Cardinal. Stanford has also posted a 4-1 ATS record in the L5 match-ups between the two teams and owns a 7-2-1 ATS record in the L10 seasons of battles between these Pac-12 schools, while also going 6-1 ML in the L7. The Cardinal obviously come into this one reeling with momentum after their huge win over USC last week at home, 21-14, in which they used a huge second-half to completely hold off any chance for the Trojans to win the game. This game should be a bit of a let-down, especially with the Cardinal playing their first road game in 2012, and it wouldn't surprise me if the Huskies get right on the board with a quick TD on their first drive. Stanford has been decent to start the season recently, posting a 5-1 ML and ATS record in their 6 September road games in the L3 seasons, with almost all coming in blowout fashion. They have played well as a single-digit road favorite as well in that span, going 7-0 ML and 6-0-1 ATS in their L7 games when laying single-digits on the road since the 2010-2011 season. So that will keep us from making a play on the Huskies there for the most part. Not too mention, Stanford has also posted a 10-1 ML and 9-2 ATS record in all games played in the month of September since the 2009-2010 season. Washington is coming in off a 52-point scoring outburst last weekend against Portland State, one week after they scored only a FG in a 41-3 blowout loss at LSU. They have now scored 73 total points in their 2 games at home this season, while they are also 1-2 ATS in 2012, going 0-1 ATS in their only game playing as an underdog. The Huskies have a lengthy injury list for tonight's game, which may (or may not) affect the final score and ultimately could decide the game one way or the other on the spread. But this game should have points regardless, and as long as the Huskies aren't essentially shut out, we should have a good shot at making a double casher on this over here tonight. And Washington should be able to score at least 2-3 TD against this Stanford defense on short rest as they come into this one averaging a pretty low 315 YPG of total offense, but the Stanford defense has been allowing just about that same amount on total defense and have been playing in the comforts of their own home. Those numbers should rise a little bit tonight. Go with the OVER in both the GAME and the FIRST HALF in tonight's game..........
WEEK #4: (12-8) +3.60 UNITS
There we go!! We ended up having a pretty big week in the NCAA FB action once again, despite starting out the week 0-2. We ended the week incredibly strong with a nice little 12-6 run to finish off the weekend in NCAA FB as we had a HUGE Saturday of NCAA FB action!! And that is how we roll around here!! Still trying to get us into the HUGE PROFIT area, as it has been a bit of a slow start for us around here, but going 12-6 to end the week is a great way for us to finish it all off!! Week #5 is going to be a MONSTER WEEK of NCAA FB!!
OVER 53 SAN JOSE STATE @ SAN DIEGO STATE
This should be a high-scoring affair as both of these teams come in having scored more than 40+ points in each of their L2 games and both coming in 2-1 ML with each suffering a tough road loss against a Pac-12 opponent, with San Jose State losing the season opener at Stanford, 20-17, and San Diego State losing their season opener at Washington, 21-12. Have to give the edge to the Spartans here, as they come into this game a perfect 3-0 ATS on the season overall, and have a much more talented squad on paper, against this SD ST team that has lost a few of their key players from years past. The Spartans have not allowed any of there 3 opponents to score more than 20 points against them this season and have held their opponents to a much improved 100 YPG on the ground this season. They will be tested quickly in this game, as the Aztecs come in averaging almost 240 YPG on the ground on offense so far this season. But I actually give the edge to the Spartans rushing tandem for this one, as they come into this meeting averaging nearly 150 YPG on their own this season, led by Minnesota-transfer, Eskridge, who has amassed 216 yards and 3 TD in his L2 games against Colorado State and UC Davis. The Aztecs are also currently allowing opponents to rush for 150 YPG on the ground against them, so the Spartans running game should at the very least hold their own against this SD ST defense. That will most likely force this game to the air and San Jose State has the decided edge there, as they are averaging over 300 YPG passing, compared to SD ST under 200 YPG in the air, and their QB, Fales, is hitting for 73% of his throws for nearly 900 yards passing with 5 TD and 1 INT. The Aztecs have forced 1 pick per game on average, and we will give them that much at most for this one, as Fales should be able to have his way with this SD ST secondary today. Not that the Spartans defense will be able to do much better against the Aztecs starting QB, Katz, who has dominated defenses by throwing for 5 TD and only 1 INT himself this season. He has been helped by a huge rushing attack as stated above, with both Muema and Kazee combining for 500 yards of rushing offense and 7 TD, while Katz also has accounted for 146 yards on the ground as well. The big difference here could end up coming down to, dare I say it, penalties. San Diego State is flagged about 5 times more per game than the Spartans, as the Spartans defense has managed to stay almost flag free all season long to date, and those added yards could have the biggest difference in the end of what should be a high-flying explosive scoring battle, and I expect both of these teams either in the 40's or very close to it. Go with the OVER in this one........
FLORIDA GATORS (-23)
Florida has been absolutely money this season and should come into this match-up ready to blow the doors off their friendly rivals once again today. Florida has quite predictably, owned Kentucky in recent meetings, the two schools have met every season (22 times) since 1990 and the Gators own a perfect 22-0 ML record in that span. Kentucky hasn't even been close in the L4 meetings as the Gators have crushed them by final scores of 48-10 (2011); 48-14 (2010); 41-7 (2009) and 63-5 in 2008. Thus the combined total scoring margin by the Gators in that span: 200-36. And this Gators team is playing with a renewed sense of dominance, absolutely blowing out Tennessee in last week's contest, outscoring the Volunteers 27-6 in the second half en route to an easy box-score victory, 37-20. Driskell made me eat the words in my write-up as I called him a mere game manager, and although he was unspectacular, he did put up a 16-for-20 passing display for 219 yards and 2 TD with 0 INT. Now I expect him to have a real break-out game here today against a Wildcats defense that for the most part had played a little better than expected in the secondary this season and is allowing only 211 YPG in the air against them. They have been eaten up on the ground against the likes of weaker competition like Western Kentucky, Kent State and Louisville, with all 3 schools rushing for an average of 188 YPG against them, with 5 running backs alone rushing for over 75 yards against them, and 3 rushers (2 from Louisville, one from Western Kentucky) gaining over 100+ yards on the ground against them in one game. Not surprisingly they have lost both the Louisville and Western Kentucky games, two games in which they were out-rushed by a combined total of 249 yards by the two schools. Florida might out-gain them by that in today's game alone. Florida's star running back, Gillislee, has been a super-stud out of the backfield this season, rushing for at least 83 yards or more in all 3 games this season, and leading a Florida rushing attack to a 232 YPG average on the ground so far this season. He rushed for 115 yards against the vaunted Volunteers defense last week and had rushed for 148 yards in the season-opener against a weak Bowling Green squad, a defense that is allowing an average of 270+ YPG on the ground so far this season. Florida has scored 41 points or more in each of the L5 meetings and in 14 of the L18 meetings overall between the two schools. Kentucky on the other hand has been held to 10-points or less in 3 of the L4 meetings between them and 4-of-6 as well. Nothing here makes me believe this result will be any different. Again, the Gators have won the L4 meetings between the two schools by a combined score of 200-36, or an average score of 50-9. Either way you slice it, it would be well above this generous 23-point number. Before their loss against the -28-point spread against Kent State earlier this season, the Gators were a perfect 9-0 ATS in previous games where they were favored by a number in the 20's. Kentucky hasn't had a spread that high this season, but they were 0-3 ATS dating back to 2008-2009 on spreads that were in the +20 - +29 range. Kentucky was also beaten by 18 at Louisville last week, and they have lost by 28 or more points in 3 of their L5 on the road dating back to last season. Also, the last time the Gators used the Wildcats as a tune-up game before their bye week was back in 2009, and as -20.5 favorites, the Gators completely dominated the Wildcats, 41-7, although that was back in the Tebow days. But these team is looking just as tough to beat. I will take them laying the points. Take the FLORIDA GATORS to COVER as the big home favorites in this early morning match-up to kick off our Saturday.......
MARYLAND TERRAPINS (+25.5)
This spread also seems a tad high as Maryland and West Virginia have a recent history against each other and that usually results in a battle, well closer than this 25.5 point spread would indicate. West Virginia is 5-0 ML and ATS in the L5 meetings between the two schools, but they have played 10 times overall since 2001 and the only games that have been blowouts have actually been won by Maryland, although those victories were back in the mid 2000's. Since 2004, West Virginia has gone 6-0 ML and 5-1 ATS in this series, but they have never beaten Maryland by more than 21 points in any of those contests and with this massive spread today, I just don't see it happening once again. Maryland has had a decent start to their 2012 season so far, and come in off a hard fought, tough loss at UCONN last week, 24-21, in an ugly game in which neither team could get their offense going at any point throughout the game. They have been playing some tough defense so far this season and have held their opponents (albeit the opponents are UCONN, Temple and William and Mary) to a combined average of only 227 YPG of total offense, but they won't be able to control the game today like they have. This Mountaineer offense has been explosive, scoring at least 42 PPG in each of their first two games, and have come in rolling off that massive blowout of Clemson in the Bowl game last season to average a staggering 612 YPG of offense so far this season. They have played literally nobody though so far, blowing out Marshall 69-34 and then going to James Madison and crushing them, 42-12. Still Maryland should give them their first real test here today. West Virginia was also favored by -26.5 points in that Marshall game and they did manage to cover the spread while allowing that Marshall team to put 35 points on the board, so if Maryland can get any type of offense here today and their defense can put a little pressure on West Virginia , this should be much like history and this final should stay within 20 points. Two keys to this game will be whether or not the Terrapins can stay close to their 4 YPP average, because that is around what WV is averaging on defense, and whether or not WV will keep up their 8.3 YPP average against a Terrapins defense that allows only 3.8 YPP on average. Still the Terrapins have played 3 games this season and have yet to have a game decided by more than 9 points. 2 of those 3 games have been decided by 3 points or less. Run with the MARYLAND TERRAPINS as huge underdogs in this rematch........
CLEMSON TIGERS (+14.5) AND OVER 54 CLEMSON TIGERS @ FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES
Okay, I get it. Florida State is back. They picked up a dominating 52-0 shutout at home over Wake Forest last week as -28.5 favorites, but this Clemson team should be able to give them a legitimate challenge here tonight. For starters, Clemson has played well in this series over the years and would have covered today's spread in each of the L7 meetings between the two schools since 2005. Clemson has actually pulled off a 5-2 ML and 6-1 ATS record in their L7 meetings overall and I just can't see this Florida State offense crushing them by more than 2 TD. The Tigers would also have gone 3-0 ATS and 1-2 ML in their L3 meetings played at Florida State, with their losses coming by 3 points in 2010 and 14 points back in 2008 and a win by 7 back in 2006. Clemson also heads into this match-up having scored 93 points over their L2 games, although those two opponents were Furman and Ball State, while Florida State has scored 52 points or more in each of their first 3 games this season, beating their opponents by combined scores of a staggering 176-3!! Wow!! Of course, those 3 opponents were actually Murray State, Savannah State and Wake Forest, but they are coming in off 2 straight shutouts at home, in which they have outscored Wake and Savannah State by 107-0!! The most ridiculous stat: Florida State is outscoring their opponents by an average of 58.7 - 1 in their first 3 games! Both of these programs are currently averaging over 500 yards of total offense per game this season, although the Florida State defense is by far statistically better on paper, as they have allowed a mere 103 YPG in total offense so far. Clemson is allowing an average of over 365+ YPG in total offense themselves, but I expect both of those stats to skyrocket by the end of this game tonight. This should be the game that Clemson's returning stars have been waiting for to ultimately showcase their talents and I expect Boyd, Watkins and Ellington to get some points on the board against this dominating Florida State defense. That was definitely the case last season as all 3 had pretty big games, as Boyd threw for 344 yards and 3 TD and rushed for another TD, Ellington had 71 yards and a TD and Watkins ended up with 140+ receiving yards and 2 TD himself. These two schools have also combined to go for 64 or more total points in 3 of their L4 meetings and I don't see how this one could be any different in the end. Clemson will definitely break the Seminoles shutout streak here today and should end be able to put 24+ points on the board here today. Although Florida State very easily could go for 40 against this Clemson D, I think the only way they do, is if it is a back and forth shootout and Clemson is running right with them, score for score. This one will most likely be decided by a costly Clemson turnover that FSU is able to capitalize on in their house. Let's hope it isn't like 6 costly turnovers here for Clemson and they keep this one within 10 points all game long. Go with CLEMSON and the OVER in the swamp......
RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS (+9.5)
Arkansas is in the midst of a major tailspin, but with the return of Wilson under center for them in this one, they expect everything to get back on track. Or at least they hope. We hope this Rutgers team doesn't fail to show up as they enter Hog-ville USA with two extra days of rest after their upset win over South Florida last Thursday night. The biggest reason for this play is the utter chaos that is circling the Razorbacks program right now, as not only is their star quarterback severely banged up, but it was just released within the last couple days that their head coach has declared bankruptcy and is over $23 million in debt!! How in the hell does the Arkansas head coach even accumulate $23 million in debt?! Not too mention, with the wild and crazy offseason they had with their now departed head coach Petrino, and this program is obviously is an absolute mess. In comes Rutgers. And with it, the hopes that we can manage a win here getting almost a TD and a FG in our favor. This will be the ultimate challenge for a Rutgers team that has played some pretty boring football to date so far this season, having failed to score more than 26 points in any single game, while holding their opponents to an average of 8 PPG against them. Arkansas is coming in off a shutout of their offense, as they were completely owned by Alabama last week, losing 52-0 in a game they managed only 79 yards passing on offense, threw 2 INT and fumbled the ball 7 times, 3 of those which were lost. Now Rutgers doesn't quite have the defense of Alabama, but they have been tough this season and are coming in off that game against South Florida last week, in which they caused 2 fumbles themselves, recovering one, and ended up with 3 INT on defense. That was a big game being on prime-time television, and the defense stepped up huge, especially considering they had 1 turnover in each of the first 2 games against Howard and Tulane, and we need that type of effort once again here today. The Scarlet Knights will have to eliminate the Hogs running game right off the bat, especially is Wilson is knocked out of the game early, and they will have to lean on a defensive front that has allowed opposing teams and average of only 59 yards per game on the ground through their first 3 games this season. That defensive effort has propelled Rutgers to a perfect 3-0 ML start and despite being a disappointing 1-2 ATS so far this season, they are 1-0 ATS when playing as the underdog. But this team started to click late last season and if you go back to the end of the 2011 season, they have currently won 7 of their L8 games overall, while never scoring more than 27 points in any of those games, and allowing more than 17 only 1 time, in a 40-22 loss at UCONN. With Wilson in the game, the Scarlet Knights will most likely have to lean more heavily on their secondary to thwart the Razorbacks offense, and the secondary has played a big role in their success so far in 2012, allowing only 190 YPG on average in the passing game this season. In Wilson's only legitimate game so far this season, the season opener against Jacksonville State, he completed 19-of-27 passes for 367 yards and 3 TD with 0 INT. He did also struggle against Louisiana Monroe, before being knocked out of the game for good, as he was only 11-for-20 for 196 yards, 2 TD and 1 INT. I don't think he will necessarily be rusty, but if there are any lingering effects from his injury, that will play a huge role in this game and allow Rutgers the chance to stay involved. Rutgers should get to him a couple of times today as this Arkansas line has allowed an average of 2 sacks per game on the front line. Not to wish ill will on anyone, but Rutgers needs to make those count. Rutgers is also 6-2 ATS in their L8 games following a ML win. Take the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS to COVER here today.......
MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS (+2.5) AND OVER 54 SYRACUSE ORANGE @ MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS
OVER 41.5 CONNECTICUT HUSKIES @ WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS
Last week we took the Over play in the UCONN game off the board. We wont make that same mistake again this week fortunately. Once again, this spread just seems a tad too low as UCONN and Western Michigan should both be able to get over the 20-point mark and this game should come down to the wire, much like last season's 38-31 Western Michigan win on the UCONN campus. Connecticut did struggle to score points in their meeting against NC ST two weeks ago, as they managed only a TD in what was a horribly sluggish offensive game for both squads, a game that NC ST finally ended up winning 10-7. But they have scored 24 points or more in both of their other 2 games and square off against a Western Michigan offense that is 2 weeks removed from a 52-21 win over Eastern Illinois at home, and they took Minnesota down to the final minutes last week, before finally falling, 28-23. The Huskies have been dominating teams with their defense through their first 3 games, holding their opponents to an average of less than 175 YPG of total offense, which includes keeping the rushing game in complete check and allowing 51 YPG of rushing yards against them per week. But these two schools met less than a year ago and this Western Michigan offense had no problems getting anything going against the Huskies, as they put up 38 points behind nearly 500 yards of offense, with returning QB, Carder, amassing for nearly 490 of those yards in the passing attack. The Broncos also have a much improved ground attack for this one, as youngster Chance picked up nearly 145 yards on the ground last week at Minnesota, and that should only be a plus for Western Michigan as they totaled only 13 yards on the ground in last season's meeting. UCONN has a new QB under center and we expect a much bigger day from the youngster, who managed to put up only 68 yards in the air last week against a much tougher Maryland defense, but this Broncos team has been decent in the secondary, keeping their opponents under 200 yards in the air overall. That will make UCONN more dependent on their rushing game and last season McCombs had a huge day against the Broncos front line, rushing for 136 yards against them in a losing effort for the Huskies. He rushed 27 times last week and only gained 94 yards, so we expect him to have a little better day today and get over the century mark without much problem. If there is an issue with this Broncos defense, it is in the rushing attack, as they have allowed an average of 130+ YPG on the ground so far this season and could get stuck with another back going over 100+ yards against them today. Both of these teams combine to average about 6 total turnovers every game as well, so this one should be ugly overall indeed, but if we can get one or two of those turnovers to convert to easy scores, we should be sitting on easy street here today. Go with the OVER.......
UTEP MINERS (+18)
This spread should be a tad too high, especially for this struggling Badgers squad, as they face off against a UTEP team that has played well to kick off this season so far. The Miners are coming in off a 41-28 drubbing over New Mexico State last weekend, a game in which they barely failed to cover the -14-point spread as the favorites, and because of that game, have started the season off 1-2 ATS to kick off their season, with their only spread win coming as +29.5-point underdogs against Oklahoma in week 1, a game they lost 24-7 in the end. UTEP has only played one road game so far this season, losing a tough game at Mississippi State, 28-10, as the +8.5 underdogs in that match-up. The Badgers have show us absolutely nothing this season, and did little to encourage taking them as such huge home favorites this season, as they barely escaped Utah State last week, needing to make a comeback in their 16-14 win, as this Badgers team once again failed to have a game decided by more than 5 points in their first 3 contests so far. That includes both of their home games so far, in which they have played the likes of Northern Iowa and Utah State and also escaped with a late win against Northern Iowa, winning 26-21 in the end. They have really struggled to get their passing game going at all this season, averaging 155+ YPG in the air on offense this year, and they come into this one failing to even break the 85-yard mark in the air last week against the Aggies. O'Brien, the junior QB for the Badgers has only mustered a mere 235 yards passing over his last two games, a stark contrast from week 1, when he tossed for 219 yards and 2 TD vs. 0 INT. He has 1 TD and 1 INT in the two weeks since. UTEP doesn't have an overly daunting secondary themselves, but they have played well this season, allowing an average 240 YPG in the air so far this season, while allowing a vaunted Oklahoma offense to only 222 yards in the air. They were run over by the Oklahoma rushing corps, as the Sooners gained 205 yards on the ground that day, something that Montee Ball could lead the Wisconsin offense to again today. They also had virtually no offense on that day, as their 2 QB's combined to go 7-for-26 for a pathetic 48 yards, but it took the Sooners a 14-0 shutout in the 4th quarter to pull away and win the game by 17. The Miners have held their opponents to 28 PPG or under in each of their 3 games so far this season, and if we can get the same result here today against a Wisconsin offense that has averaged just over 16 PPG this season and has yet to score more than 26 in a single game. UTEP should also once again have the services of their sophomore running back Jeffery, which is definitely a good thing as he pounded the Oklahoma defense for 177 yards on 21 carries and if he can get that kind of production going early, the Miners might be in a battle to win this game outright. Wisconsin is 0-3 ATS so far in 2012, and they have also gone 0-2 ATS when the spread is listed in the double-digits this season with them as the favorite, and they are 1-4 ATS in their L5 in that same situation going back to last season. UTEP is 1-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog already this season. The Badgers should win this one, but with Nebraska and Big Ten play looming next week, they might get caught looking ahead here and UTEP could very easily keep this within 13-17 in the end. Go with TEXAS El-Paso to COVER this massive SPREAD again here today.........
BYU COUGARS (+6.5)
Brigham Young just seems like the safe play here, although a large percentage of the public is rolling with Boise State in this one. These two schools haven't faced off since 2004, when Boise State outlasted BYU, 28-27, at home on the blue turf. The Cougars come into this one most likely steaming from their loss last week at Utah in which they were essentially beaten twice, 27-24, after students stormed the field prematurely and forced the teams to reply a final down for the 2nd time. It didn't help and BYU was still stuck with the loss. They enter tonight's game looking to take advantage of an over-inflated spread against a Boise State squad that really shouldn't be as good as teams in recent years. The Broncos have played well to start out their season, losing a tough battle to Michigan State on the Spartan's home field, 17-14, before bouncing back to crush, but they bounced back by destroying a weak Miami, Ohio squad, 39-12, in last week's home opener. The offense has appeared to click without any real hitch so far, but they will be tested against the nation's number 9 defense in BYU tonight. Boise has found a groove in their rushing game, as they are averaging just over 165 YPG on the ground so far this season, but that is going to be the biggest key to this game, as BYU comes in with the nations #6 rushing defense and has allowed an average of 53 YPG on the ground. The challenge will then be forced upon the BYU offense and they do appear to have a slight edge as they are averaging over 30+ PPG so far and have done so behind an offensive unit going for over 420+ YPG on their own through 3 games. Boise's defense isn't necessarily limited on the defensive front and should be able to contain the BYU offense for the most part and keep them closer to their defensive average of PPG allowed of 14.5, as opposed to Boise State's offensive PPG average of 32, in my opinion. This one should be close, but BYU should have enough on both offense and defense to keep the final score within a TD difference and might even win this game outright. Take the BYU COUGARS to COVER the SPREAD in tonight's meeting........
UNIVERSITY OF LOUISIANA - MONROE WARHAWKS (+7.5) AND OVER 69.5 BAYLOR @ ULM
This ULM team has been playing up to their opponents so far this season, starting off their season with a huge upset 3-point win over then-ranked #8 Arkansas, and then following it up last week by taking Auburn to the brink, before finally losing by 3 themselves in OT. They come back home for tonight's match-up, which has been a good thing as they beat that Arkansas squad at home, when they were +30-point underdogs. Baylor is definitely a team in rebuild mode, with the loss of a few key players, none bigger than RG3, who is currently tearing up the NFL stage through his first 2 Sundays. And the Bears have kicked off their season in a positive way, crushing two cupcake opponents in Sam Houston State last week (48-23) and SMU (59-24) in week 1 of action. They will face their first legitimate test tonight and we fully expect this one to come all the way down to the final whistle. Offensively this one should get up there in points in a hurry, as Baylor comes in averaging nearly 600 YPG of offense on the season so far, and they shouldn't have too much of a challenge here tonight, as this Warhawks defense is currently allowing a shade under 400 YPG of total offense, although that might not be so bad after all, as they have faced off against 2 extremely high-powered offenses in the previously mentioned Arkansas and Auburn. Monroe has been a lot tougher on the pass, as they are allowing just over 220 YPG in the passing game so far through two games, and they have managed to put a lot of pressure on the opposing QB by forcing 3 total INT so far and picking up 2 sacks against some offensive lines that should have dominated them from the start. Offensively, Monroe shouldn't really have any difficulties getting their game off today, as Baylor is allowing almost exactly what this ULM team averages per game anyway, so this should play right into the hands of ULM on their home turf. Monroe averages about 480 YPG in total offense, while the Baylor defense allows just under 460 YPG on total offense. And the Warhawks should have no problem getting their passing game going as they average just over 325 YPG, while this Baylor defense is allowing just under 325 YPG themselves. As we know, Monroe was playing much tougher competition than Baylor was up against also, so their stats hold a lot more weight in our opinion and they should be able to get the same type of offensive and defensive game-plan going as well tonight. Baylor also has a big meeting with West Virginia up next on the schedule. If the Warhawks come out playing as scrappy as they did the first two games, they might even be able to knock Baylor off altogether. Go with the UNIVERSITY OF LOUISIANA MONROE to cover on their home turf here tonight and add the OVER on there as well.......
OVER 56.5 KANSAS STATE WILDCATS @ OKLAHOMA SOONERS
This total seems a tad low, even though the Sooners absolutely dominated the Wildcats last season, destroying them for a 58-17 blowout at Kansas State, holding Klein to only 8-of-16 passing for a mere 58 yards, and rushing for 92 yards on 26 carries. Landry Jones just absolutely picked apart the Kansas State defense, tossing for 505 yards with 5 TD and only 2 INT. The Sooners have also had an extra week off to prepare for this game and no doubt have watched a ton of film from that game and I do expect Landry Jones to have another big day here today on his home turf. Jones also threw for just under 300 yards and 4 TD in the Sooners 42-30 win the last time they visited Kansas State back in 2009 as the two teams have combined for 75 and 72 points in each of the 2 games he has participated in for this series. Klein has gotten off to a big start this season, leading the Wildcats to a perfect 3-0 ML and 2-1 ATS in their 3 games this season, as he has totaled just under 900 yards on the season and has produced 9 TD overall. Kansas State has yet to have a game in which they have scored under 35 points, and they have scored 51 points or more in 2 of their contests so far, including one against Miami, although this will be their first road test in 2012. This one should be a battle on the ground as both of these teams are averaging more than 250 YPG rushing so far this season, while both have also been playing tough defense against the run, with Kansas State allowing less than 94 YPG on the ground and the Oklahoma defense allowing around 135 YPG. The secondary has been the only suspect issue on defense for K ST as they have allowed the opposing QB from schools such as North Texas and Missouri State (and Miami) to all throw for over 210 yards in the air against them on their home turf. The chances of them stopping Landry Jones and his receivers today are slim to none. This Wildcats team also allowed more than 350 yards of total offense to North Texas and nearly 420 yards of total offense against Missouri State and if they do that here today, Oklahoma will most definitely convert those yards into points. Oklahoma has scored 42 points or more in each of the L4 battles between these two schools and have gone for 58 points in 2 of those L4 match-ups. Did I mention these two schools are averaging a total of 76 combined points in their L4 contests in this series as well? Go with the OVER in today's meeting........
TEMPLE OWLS (+7)
This spread seems way out of whack as there should be a good chance at Temple pulling off the outright upset in this one, but we'll take the TD difference here and watch this one end up being decided by somewhere around 4-points, that is unless the Owls just blow them off their own field altogether, which is also possible. These two teams have played 6 times since 2006 and Penn State has owned the series, going 6-0 ML in that span, but Temple has managed to go 3-0 ATS in the L3 meetings, including last year's cover as the same +7-point dogs, when they lost 14-10. The Owls also come in off a disappointing loss in their last game to Maryland at home, losing 36-27 as the -8 point favorites in that one. Perhaps they were looking ahead to this match-up, but either way, Penn State should have a much tougher task in this game than they had last week, when they blew Navy off the field, 34-7. The Nittany Lions suffered a couple of tough luck losses in their first 2 weeks before that, as they were beaten by Virginia, 17-16, with a donked FG off the uprights, and they were man-handled by Ohio in their season opener, 24-14. Temple has averaged 34 PPG so far to kick off the season, which could be trouble for this Penn State team, as they have only scored as many as 34 points in a game one time this season. The keys to this game are going to revolve around whether or not Temple can get their running game established early, as they come into this one rushing for an average over 175+ YPG on the ground, while Penn State allows an average over 150+ YPG on the ground themselves. Although, the Nittany Lions did also allow Navy to rush for 255 yards in their last game and they still held them to 7 points and defeated them by 27 in the end, so we obviously will need the Temple defense to come up huge here as well. That might come down to whether or not the Penn State passing attack can get the offense running, but they won't have an easy task as the Owls are allowing an average of only 170 YPG against them in the air so far and kept a very similar Maryland passing game to only 190 yards last week, although Temple also lost that game by 9 in the end. The Owls have been playing well during the opening month for the most part in recent years as they come into this meeting on a current 6-1 ATS run during the month and get to face off a Nittany Lions team that has struggled during the month of September in recent seasons, as they have posted a dismal 3-13 ATS in their L16 games played in the month. Penn State is also currently 2-7-1 ATS in their L10 games on their own home field and an equally bad 2-7 ATS in their L9 non-conference games. Temple is the exact opposite there as well, going 4-1 ATS in their L5 games against non-conference foes. Penn State is also a paltry 1-8 ATS in their L9 games played against teams from the Big East Conference and they are 0-4 ATS in games following a 20-point blowout victory. Obviously this isn't the Penn State team that we all grew up with knowing and we expect a game similar to last year's showdown, when the Nittany Lions won by 4 points. Go with the TEMPLE OWLS in today's in-state match-up........
EAST CAROLINA PIRATES (+14.5)
These are not the Tar Heels were are normally making bank on this time of year and this Pirates team happened to be one of the plays that we took off the board last week and ultimately regretted as they came out and beat Southern Mississippi outright, 24-14, as the +7-point underdogs in that one. They have also usually played well in this battle of state rivals, as in the 6 career meetings between the two schools only 1 of those has been decided by more than 15 points. The Tar Heels have gone 5-0 ATS in the L5 meetings between the two schools, but come in with their team still looking to click on both sides of the ball. They lost 39-35 at Louisville last week as the +3.5 underdogs and were beaten at Wake Forest, 28-27, as the -10 point favorites two weeks ago. They will be looking forward to returning home, where they dominated a football-challenged, Elon University, by a 62-0 final score and out-gained Elon by over 350+ yards overall in offense. The Pirates were beaten by 15 points (35-20) in this match-up last season and they have to find a way to contain Renner at QB for North Carolina, who torched the Pirates defense for 230 yards in the air last season and 4 TD with 0 INT, and is coming in off a career day against Louisville in which he passed for 363 yards, 5 TD and 1 INT. The Pirates pass defense has been suspect all season long, as they have allowed opposing teams to pass for over 310 YPG on average against them, but a big reason for that is the nearly 400 YPG they allowed against South Carolina in their 48-10 beat-down at the hands of the Gamecocks. They did also allow 300 yards in the air against Appalachian State, but a lot of those yards came in the 2nd half of the blowout. Both of these teams turn the ball over almost 2.5 times a game on average, so a few turnovers should have an impact on this game, regardless how it is decided. I don't necessarily see the Tar Heels losing this game in any way, as they are 8-0 ML in their L8 situations when they were coming in off 2 straight ML losses, but 5 of those follow-up games have been decided by 8 points or less, with 4 of those games decided by 5 points or less. East Carolina should come in pumped up off their upset of Southern Mississippi last week and North Carolina is still trying to find the right pieces to put together to get wins on the board. Much like Wisconsin, this Tar Heels team could get back on track somewhat in this game, but don't expect it all to click just yet. Take the EAST CAROLINA PIRATES and the more than a 2 TD spread in this one.......
MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (+6) AND OVER 49.5 MICHIGAN WOLVERINES @ NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH
This is what I guess you would call the play of the day, as we love the Wolverines in this spot and should go into South Bend and in one fell swoop make people completely forget about that prime-time blowout loss at the hands of Alabama to open the season. Michigan comes into this game having won each of the L3 meetings and posting a 5-1 ML and ATS record in the L6 match-ups between the two schools in this storied rivalry. And the L3 meetings have been incredibly close, with each of the games being decided by exactly 4 points. In each of those games, Denard Robinson has gone off, as last season alone, he combined for 436 yards in passing/rushing on his own and accounted for 4 of the Wolverines TD. So he was essentially responsible for 28 of Michigan's 35 points in that 35-31 home win last season. In his only game on the hallowed campus of Notre Dame, he was even better, as he rushed for 258 yards and 2 TD, while passing for another 244 and 1 TD in the 28-24 win. That gave him a total of 502 combined yards in that game with 3 TD. In his freshman season, he rushed for 21 yards in a back-up RB role. But Robinson has to be in the running to break some records against Notre Dame today if he hasn't already. Not only is he looking to go 4-0 lifetime against the Fighting Irish, but he has gained a total of 938 yards against the school with 7 TD!! Impressive stuff. I think today is going to be another one of those monster days for Robinson and teammates and he should have enough to get it done and make it a perfect 4-0 against the legendary school. This is supposedly a transformed Notre Dame squad this season, anchored by the strength of their defense, and they should have somewhat of an advantage having seen Robinson up close and personal themselves the last few years. But that will be a very little advantage as Robinson will establish his dominance on the opening drive right off the bat and should have another monster day. Notre Dame has contained opponents rushing attack for the most part this season, holding teams to below 100 YPG on average through their first 3 games, but this is no average rushing attack and Michigan is averaging 200 YPG on the ground on offense themselves. Notre Dame should also be able to get their own running game going, as Michigan has been atrocious against the run this season, allowing their opponents an average of 211 YPG on the ground in 2012, but that is largely thanks to Air Force and Alabama almost rushing for 600 yards combined against them. Michigan's offense appears to be in top form, as they come into tonight's match fresh off a 63-13 thumping of UMASS last week, as they jumped out to 42 points at the half and Robinson toasted their defense for nearly 400 total yards and 4 TD. Sounds like the numbers he should put up here again today. The Wolverines come into this one 11-5 ATS in their L16 September games and 10-4-1 ATS in their L15 against non-conference foes. The Irish on the other hand are 1-4 ATS in their L5 against non-conference opponents and a pitiful 4-10 ATS in their L14 games played during the month of September. Roll with the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES and the OVER in South Bend........
BUFFALO BULLS (-3.5)
These two teams have both had about 10 days to prepare for this Wednesday night game and we expect both teams to come out fully prepared indeed. Buffalo is coming off a nice, yet not altogether that impressive of a win, 56-34, over Morgan State, although they fell well short of covering the -32 point spread given to them. They should be well rested and prepared for a cover here today as this spread just seems a tad too light and appears to be rising (opened at -3) as the Golden Flashes were pretty much embarrassed by a Kentucky squad, that was embarrassed in a monster upset the week before by Western Kentucky at home. Kentucky bombed Kent State, 47-17, after Kent State was able to pull it to within 17-14 early in the 2nd half, before Kentucky blew them off the field with 30 unanswered points to close out the game. These two schools haven't faced off against each other since 2009, but they used to play every season and they were an even 5-5 against each other in 10 meetings from the 2000-2009 seasons. Buffalo has won 3 of the L4 contests between them, although they have lost 3 of 4 in the series when playing on their own home turf. Buffalo comes into this one with their running game going at full speed, with the Bulls averaging 250+ YPG on the ground through their first 2 games. Kent State has been pretty tough against the run so far this season themselves (allowing only 125+ YPG rushing) but they have been torched in the young secondary for an average of 300 yards passing per game on average. That is more a reflection of this young, inexperienced defense than the rushing yards average stat is I think. Both of these defenses are young and inexperienced, but the Bulls D has to get a slight edge here, especially playing on their own home field. As long as their secondary can contain Keith and the Flashes passing game, the Bulls should be in prime position to pick up a nice home win here. Keith is a returning 4th year starter, but has been putting up the same mediocre stats as he has his entire career, with 0 TD and 0 INT to go along with a light 309 passing yards so far in 2012. The Bulls linebacker core and secondary is where the defense has its age and unless Keith has a breakout day here tonight, we should get a nice win on the home favorite here. Kent State also has a nice RB tandem that Buffalo will have to counter, which might be a bit of a challenge seeing as the Bulls are averaging nearly 215 YPG allowed on the ground. But all in all, Buffalo should be up to the task here tonight. Go with the BUFFALO BULLS in tonight's battle.......
WEEK #3: (6-6) -0.30 UNITS
Alright, so we started the week out on a positive note, going 2-0 through the Thursday and Friday night games, but the Saturday action was again a bit of a disappointment. It started out alright, as we jumped out to a few more early wins with the Gophers and Northwestern, but the afternoon action came and dropped us back down to even on the day overall. At least we know we are starting to get back into the grove around here. Week #4 will bring us the PROFITS once again!! It has been a disappointment the way the NCAA FB season started around here, but we have been having sluggish starts to most all sports around here lately. But then we stay hot all season long, so we are expecting that to kick in here next week. There are a lot of strong plays on the board for Week #4 and we are eager to turn the page. But all in all, it was a mediocre 6-6 week overall.
RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS (+7.5)
UNLV RUNNIN REBELS (+8.5)
TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS (-3)
NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS (-3)
UNDER 54.5 BC EAGLES @ NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS
OVER 57.5 USC TROJANS @ STANFORD CARDINAL
MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS (-3)
VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES (-10)
VIRGINIA CAVALIERS (+10)
UTAH STATE AGGIES (+14.5)
MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS (+21.5)
OVER 54 MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS @ BOISE STATE BRONCOS
Once again it was a rough weekend of NCAA FB as we were stuck right off the bat and even were in the midst of an 0-9 spell carrying over from last week!! We have never had a spell like that in NCAA FB, so we knew it would snap and will end up righting itself once again!! If you have followed us for the L2+ years, then you know we absolutely own college football!! We are still waiting for it, but we are fully expecting a big week in WEEK 3!! And even though we backed up a weak end to WEEK 1 with a 21-5 run in the MLB, we also backed up this week's lousy showing in NCAA FB with an 11-4 record for nearly +7 UNITS of PROFITS in the NFL!! We will right the ship in WEEK 3!! GUARANTEED!!
NEBRASKA HUSKERS (-5)
1ST HALF: MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (-12.5)
VANDERBILT COMMODORES (-3.5)
IOWA STATE CYCLONES (+3.5)
MIAMI HURRICANES (+7)
NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS (-9.5)
OVER 53.5 PURDUE BOILERMAKERS @ NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH
NEVADA WOLF PACK (PICK)
OREGON STATE BEAVERS (+6.5)
OVER 50 PITTSBURGH PANTHERS @ CINCINNATI BEARCATS
PITTSBURGH PANTHERS (+5)
UTAH UTES (-6.5)
OVER 50.5 UTAH UTES @ UTAH STATE AGGIES
WEEK #1: (10-14) -4.70 UNITS
It was a tough and trying first week to our NCAA FB season, especially considering the blistering start we have had to the college ball in the L2 seasons!! But all in all it wasn't a total loss, as although the WEEK 1 NCAA FB action was a loss overall of 5U, we ABSOLUTELY killed it for the MEMBERS in the MLB at this time. During this same 10-14 week of NCAA FB, we also had a 21-5 run in the MLB!! 21-5!! We still made our MEMBERS a PROFIT of +12.15 UNITS in that span!! On a 1-UNIT scale!! Although that was a killer because we made about 12 UNITS in the MLB in the first 3 days of September alone!! But by no means are we in a panic around here!! When you produce OVER 100 UNITS of PROFIT in each of the L3 years in ALL FOOTBALL, a bad week doesn't make us panic in any way. But 0-6 to end the week, after we started 3-1 in the first night, well, that's definitely going to leave a mark!! Ah well, doubt us if you must, but watch us explode again on the scene with our football in week 2......
UNDER 45.5 SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS @ VANDERBILT COMMODORES
VANDERBILT COMMODORES (+6.5)
OVER 50 MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS @ UNLV RUNNIN' REBELS
OVER 52.5 TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS @ NC STATE WOLFPACK
SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS (+24.5)
OVER 53.5 NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS @ SYRACUSE ORANGE
MIAMI HURRICANES MONEY LINE (-130)
CLEMSON TIGERS (-2.5)
WYOMING COWBOYS (+31)
COLORADO STATE RAMS (+6)
WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS (+12)
NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK (+3.5)
MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS (-7.5)
OVER 50.5 SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS @ STANFORD CARDINAL
CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS (-11)
IOWA HAWKEYES (-9)
MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (+13.5)
OVER 54.5 CLEMSON TIGERS @ AUBURN TIGERS
OVER 47.5 VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES @ GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS
VIRGINIA TECH (-7)
KENTUCKY WILDCATS (+13) AND UNDER 42
SMU MUSTANGS (+7)
UNDER 57 SMU MUSTANGS @ BAYLOR BEARS
BOWL SEASON: (21-25) -6.40 UNITS
The BOWL SEASON started out on a great note, as we CASHED IN for a PERFECT 2-0 start in the first BOWL game of the season. But then on the very same day, we were handed two tough losses on the seccond BOWL game of the season. It didn't end up being much of a bowl season in the end as you can tell, as one play really did us in for the most part. But all in all, we bounced back in the National Championship game with a nice WINNING night to close out yet ANOTHER BIG WINNING SEASON in the NCAA FB!!
*7 UNITS* OVER 74 OREGON DUCKS @ KANSAS STATE WILDCATS
*5 UNITS* ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE (-9.5)
*5 UNITS* OREGON DUCKS (-8)
*3 UNITS* UNDER 41 ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE @ NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH
*2 UNITS* OKLAHOMA SOONERS (+3)
*2 UNITS* OVER 72.5 TEXAS A&M AGGIES @ OKLAHOMA SOONERS
NEBRASKA HUSKERS (+8.5)
OVER 61.5 NEBRASKA HUSKERS @ GEORGIA BULLDOGS
NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS (-1.5)
MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (+5.5)
OVER 71 PURDUE BOILERMAKERS @ OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS
VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES (-1)
MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS (+13)
OVER 55 MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS @ TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS
CINCINNATI BEARCATS (-9)
BAYLOR BEARS (+3)
WISCONSIN BADGERS (+5)
OVER 47 STANFORD CARDINAL @ WISCONSIN BADGERS
NEVADA WOLF PACK (+8.5)
OVER 79 NEVADA WOLF PACK @ ARIZONA WILDCATS
TOLEDO ROCKETS (+10.5)
OVER 58.5 TOLEDO ROCKETS @ UTAH STATE AGGIES
WASHINGTON HUSKIES (+5)
UNDER 43.5 WASHINGTON HUSKIES @ BOISE STATE BRONCOS
EAST CAROLINA PIRATES (+6.5)
OVER 67 EAST CAROLINA PIRATES @ UL LAFAYETTE RAGIN CAJUNS
SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS (+3)
OVER 46 BYU COUGARS @ SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS
BALL STATE CARDINALS (+7)
WESTERN KENTUCKY (-6)
FLORIDA GATORS (-14)
OVER 56.5 WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS @ CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS
OVER 70 WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS @ SYRACUSE ORANGE
WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS (-4)
MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS (+2)
GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS (+7.5)
VANDERBILT COMMODORES (-7)
UNDER 51.5 NC STATE WOLFPACK @ VANDERBILT COMMODORES
LSU TIGERS (-4.5)
UNDER 58.5 LSU TIGERS @ CLEMSON TIGERS
PURDUE BOILERMAKERS (+17.5)
*0.5 UNITS* TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE (+2)
*0.5 UNITS* OVER 51 IOWA STATE CYCLONES @ TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE
*0.5 UNITS* UNDER 82.5 BAYLOR BEARS @ UCLA BRUINS
*0.5 UNITS* 1ST HALF: BALL STATE CARDINALS (+4.5)
*0.5 UNITS* UNDER 48 LOUISVILLE CARDINALS @ FLORIDA GATORS