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TODAY'S FREEBIE PLAY:
OVER 7 MIL BREWERS @ STL CARDINALS (-110)
GALLARDO comes into the game with a career 1-7 record versus St. Louis in his career, along with a hefty 5.66 ERA against them in 11 career starts. In 2011 alone, he was 1-3 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 23 2/3 IP in 4 GS against them, allowing 15 ER 21 H and a whopping 8 HR to the Redbirds during the regular season. He pitched at Busch 3 times on the year, posting a much more respectable 3.32 ERA and 1-2 record in 3 GS. He threw 19 IP in St. Louis, allowing 4 of those 8 overall HR's there, along with 7 ER. In his career at Busch, he has a career 1-3 record with a 4.05 ERA in 5 career outings. And obviously as evidenced by the ballooned ERA, this Cardinals team does hit him well as the typical Cardinals starting tandem of Furcal, Jay, Pujols, Berkman and Holliday were a combined 17-for-46 with those 8 HR's, with even Furcal hitting 2 HR off him, on the 2011 season. In their careers against him, that same tandem is a combined 32-for-97 against him in their careers, although only Pujols has hit another HR off him (1) outside of this season. But the Cardinals should be able to string some runs together early against Gallardo and push this one out of reach and over the low total. CARPENTER is pretty much a career .500 pitcher against the Brewers, as he has posted a career 6-6 record with an inflated 4.58 ERA, through 15 career GS against them. There is only 1 other NL team that he struggles against more ERA-wise in his career (ATL / 6.04 ERA), and in fact, there are only 3 teams in which he has an ERA over 4 against in the NL (PHI / 4.14 ERA is the 3rd) in his career. So he does struggle against the Brewers unlike many others. On the 2011 season, he was again break-even, going 2-2 with a much more reliable 3.86 ERA in 28 IP and 4 GS against them. Overall he allowed 12 ER and 26 H, while only giving up 2 long balls, and holding Hart, Lucroy, McGehee and Morgan to a combined 9-for-47, although they did have 3 2B and 8 RBI over those 47 AB's. But the big dogs of the line-up fared much better than that in 2011 against Carpenter, as Braun, Fielder, Betancourt, Kotsay and Weeks were a combined 14-for-37 with 2 HR, 1 2B and 4 RBI. At home against the Brewers in 2011, Carpenter was brilliant though - posting both of his 2 W's there, winning by scores of 2-0 and 5-2, pitching 17 IP (1 CG Shutout) and allowing 2 ER, 14 H and 5 BB in those 2 outings. This game just appears to scream R's and Carpenter does have a slight edge in this pitching match-up as well. Roll with the CARDS to WIN all aspects of this game and for the OVER to easily cover the 7 total runs in this one.........
There you have it!!
ANOTHER FREEBIE CASHER FOR THE WEBSITE FOLLOWERS!!
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