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TODAY'S FREEBIE PLAY --
OVER 8 TAMPA BAY RAYS @ PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (-120)
The Phillies have rebounded to play much better ball as of late and are hoping to avoid being the worst team in the MLB with a late season run towards mediocrity. Philadelphia has now won 3 straight since the break, sweeping the Marlins in their 3-game set that concluded yesterday. This game could have all sorts of ugly all over it if these two teams continue to play as horribly as they have lately. Tampa Bay was 3-15 in 18 games before sweeping Houston in 3 games right before the break. Then they opened the 2nd half by dropping 2-of-3 at Toronto, putting them at a dismal 7-17 ML in their L24 overall. They have been equally as bad lately on the road, posting a 1-5 mark in their L6 -- and 2-9 ML in their L11 -- away from home. On the fortunate side for TB, they will be facing one of the biggest whipping boys in the NL this season, as the Phillies -- and Buchanan -- have been absolutely dreadful when he takes the mound. Philadelphia is a horrendous 1-14 ML in the L15 starts by the youngster, a stretch that has seen Buchanan post an 0-8 record and 4.63 ERA in those 15 games. Even worse, he has posted an 0-5 tally and 7.58 ERA in his L6 starts overall. Moore will be making just his 4th start since his return from a 2-year layoff from Tommy John surgery and he has been anything but dominant since his return, holding a 1-0 record and 7.07 ERA in those 3 outings. He did earn his first W in his last start against Houston before the break, but he also allowed 3 ER in 5 IP in that one as well, so he has not been all that effective in his return. Tampa has dropped their L2 games when playing as the road favorite, while Philadelphia has won their L2 as the home underdog. They are 5-5 ML this season when playing as a dog of +130-+135, including a 2-1 mark at home in those games, out scoring their opponents by a 21-16 margin in those 3 games. And with these bulging ERA's in play here today, this one just seems to scream the Over. For starters, Moore's three 2015 starts have produced a 2-0-1 record for the Over, while 4 of Buchnan's L6 have gone Over the total as well. Tampa Bay is currently on an 11-6-1 Over run in their L18, while 4-of-the-L5 meetings against Philadelphia have resulted in the Over as well. Philadelphia is also on an Over run themselves with a 4-2 mark in their L6. They have been an even better team to back on the Over at home lately, with a 6-1-1 cash rate for the Over hackers in their L8 in Philadelphia. This has been a prolonged trend with the Phillies too, as the Over has cashed at a 17-3-1 tally in the L21 games played at Citizen Bank Park. Take the OVER in tonight's meeting........
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