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WE ARE DROPPING 3 TOP PLAY NBA AND NCAA BB WINNERS ON EVERYBODY FOR TONIGHT!!
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TODAY'S FREEBIE PLAYS -- YTD: (6-6 / +0.70 UNITS)
DETROIT PISTONS (+13.5)
This Pistons team has handled this Warriors squad fairly well in recent meetings, losing by 6 in their only meeting so far this season and beating them outright in their last meeting against the 73-9 squad from last season. Detroit also comes in having played some extremely competitive basketball in their recent outings, as despite losing by 6 against Sacramento in their last game, they had pulled out back-to-back one point wins at Portland and against Charlotte in their previous 2 games before that. Golden State has been a major disappointment for their backers recently as well, dropping 6 straight games against the spread, while also posting a dismal 1-8 ATS mark over their L9 overall. The Warriors haven't won a game by more than 12 points since beating Brooklyn by 16 before their Christmas Day showdown with Cleveland. Make no mistake about it, Golden State absolutely owns this series, having put together a dominating 9-1 ML record in their L10 meetings. However, Detroit has covered in 3-of-the-L4 against the now mighty franchise and owns an 11-6 ATS mark in the L17 meetings against the Warriors overall. This one will probably make us sweat it out a little bit though, we aren't going to lie, as although GS owns the better ATS record between them in the L10 meetings, they have only managed to win by more than today's spread two times in that span. Therefore, in the L17 games against the Pistons, Golden State would actually hold a 2-15 ATS mark against today's listed spread. Add to that, the Warriors would be 4-10 ATS in their L14 home games against today's spread. Run with the DETROIT PISTONS as the double-digit underdog for tonight's meeting......
PHOENIX SUNS (+2.5)
More weird line movement in this game being played in Mexico City, as the Mavericks started out as the +2 point underdogs and now rest as a -2.5 favorite, despite the fact that the Suns are coming in off 3 straight ATS covers and a 4-point loss against LeBron and the Cavaliers in their last game. Not sure how Dallas has people feeling comfortable putting money on them as they have now dropped 3 straight games overall ML and ATS, as well as have posted a 2-6 ML and 3-5 ATS in their L8 games overall. That 3-game skid for Dallas was started by a home loss against the Suns and they have been pretty dismal since, dropping the next game by 15 against Atlanta and their last game by 9 at lowly Minnesota. Dallas is also 1-3 ML and 2-2 ATS in their L4 on the road overall, with one of those covers coming as a +17.5 underdog at Golden State. Phoenix has been a tough team to beat when playing as the home team, going 3-1 ML and 4-0 ATS in their L4 on their home court. Although, again, they aren't playing this one in Phoenix. They're playing it in Mexico City, so pretty much everything goes out the window. Dallas is 4-1 ML and 3-2 ATS in the L5 meetings between the two teams, although Phoenix had won the previous 3 prior to that and has posted a 6-3 ATS record in the L9 matchups against Dallas. Phoenix has also managed to post a 9-4 ATS mark in the L13 against the Mavs. That includes their 102-95 win against the Mavs in Dallas about a week ago. Go with the PHOENIX SUNS as the home underdog in Mexico City.........
OHIO STATE BUCKEYES (+11.5)
Too many points here for this Big Ten showdown, especially with both of these teams coming in off tough losses against Minnesota (Ohio State) and Purdue (Wisconsin), and we just expect this one to come down to a tight finish. The Buckeyes were playing respectable ball before the 10-point loss at Minnesota, as although they are 4-6 ML in their L10 games overall, they have lost to the likes of Purdue, UCLA, Virginia and Illinois in that span. Even further, only one of those other losses was by more than 5 points (UCLA) and 3 of those 6 losses were decided by 2 points or less. They haven't been all that great of a team to back on the road this season, posting a pathetic 1-4 ML and ATS record in their 5 games away from home this season, with a 1-2 ATS mark when listed as the underdog in that situation. Positive thing from that however, is that their win in that scenario came in their only game in which they were playing as a double-digit underdog, coming in a 63-61 loss at Virginia as the +12 point dog. Wisconsin has been money at home so far this school year, having won all 10 games played in Madison, while also posting 16 consecutive wins there, dating back to last season. However, they haven't been as money when laying double-digit points in the last two seasons, going 6-8 ATS in their L14 when laying -10+ points. They are 2-1 ATS in their L3 Big Ten games when laying -10+ points or more, however both of those wins came against Rutgers and they are 1-6 ATS when laying double-digit points against Big Ten foes (excluding Rutgers) in the L2 seasons as well. Ohio State is a paltry 8-25-1 ATS in their L34 road games, while the favorite does also hold a current 10-2 ATS mark in the L12 meetings between the two schools. Just can't get away from Ohio State with this many points in what should be a tightly contested rivalry game. Take the OHIO STATE BUCKEYES as the double-digit road dog in this Big Ten showdown.......
That is our FREEBIE action for this THURSDAY in the NBA and the NCAA BB!!
Best of luck to all tonight!! Let's get that money!!
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